Porsche 911 GT2 RS (991)

991 911 GT2RS CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$462K ▲ $59.3K (+14.7%)12 mo
BUYER ADVANTAGEPriced above trend — but volatile.
Fair value$462K ($406K–$517K)
Typical ask$660K
Recent sold$415K
12-mo outlookRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
ConfidenceHigh · 62% calls right
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($414k), not asking prices ($660k).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, but average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend before acting.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$385Ksells fast
Fair$415Krecent comps
List$444Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$560Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $406K · Fair $406K–$517K · careful above $850K

Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 7 yr, 1k mi example, ~$462K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2021-04 2026-06 $641K $231K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 208 confirmed sales·63 months tracked·since 2021-04·110 active listings

Did our model work? 62% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 29 scored forecasts: 62% got the direction right, median value error ±12%.

2021-04 2026-06 $415K $232K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10

We replayed 114 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±8%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-05-07 2018 · 0k mi $385K–$856K $733K
2026-04-25 2018 · 4k mi $322K–$715K $555K
2026-04-25 2018 · 0k mi $382K–$849K $548K
2026-04-24 2018 · 5k mi $322K–$717K $456K
2026-04-22 2019 · 1k mi $349K–$777K $360K
2026-04-09 2018 · 1k mi $377K–$839K $608K
2026-03-10 2018 · 16k mi $315K–$701K $453K
2026-03-06 2018 · 1k mi $368K–$818K $660K

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 2018 · 11k mi classic $301K–$868K ($511K)
open 2018 · 0k mi classic $350K–$1009K ($594K)
open 2018 · 0k mi classic $350K–$1009K ($594K)
open 2018 · 2k mi classic $309K–$891K ($525K)
open 2018 · 9k mi classic $299K–$862K ($508K)
open 2018 · 2k mi classic $316K–$910K ($536K)
open 2019 · 2k mi classic $307K–$884K ($521K)
open 2019 · 2k mi classic $305K–$880K ($518K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2021-04 now +24mo $696K $167K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo UP 48% Low 60%
12 mo UP 50% Low 62%
24 mo UP 51% Low 47%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. Silver has historically led it by about 8 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$465K now +8mo 2021-04 $484K $321K
BECAUSE Silver rose 48%. THEREFORE, given its usual 8-month head start, we lean UP — about +1% (≈ +$3,860) over the next 8 months. Confidence: High (correlation +0.59, 32 months overlap).

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 75% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Silver and Effective Fed Funds Rate, though US Regular Gas Price points the other way.

Trend and leading indicators agree — both point up. Higher-conviction read.
now +12mo (indicators) $531K $321K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

Silver+0.9Effective Fed Funds +0.3Unemployment Rate+0.7US Regular Gas Price-0.2Russell 2000 (small +1.0Advance Retail Sales+0.0Consumer Discretiona+1.1CPI (All Urban Consu+0.4 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2021

$100K invested 2021-04 → today (5.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$162K$199K$258K$87.6K$132K 2021 2026 296 100
━ This car $162K━ S&P 500 $199K━ Gold $258K━ Luxury $87.6K━ Housing $132K₿ Bitcoin $120K (off-scale)
Solid store of value, but lagged the stock market. The Porsche 911 GT2 RS (991) roughly 1.6×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.3× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 19% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It beat housing (+22%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 11 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.76). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Porsche 911 GT2 RS (991) ┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +11mo
2024-02 2026-06

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
66
Undervaluation
30
Liquidity
53
Speculation Opportunity
46
Depreciation Risk
32
Overvaluation
68
asking +57% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
+39% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
+35% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
sale prices +1.3%/mo median sale trend slope
+24% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
sell-through 100% sell through rate
35% relisted listing reappearance rate
0% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings110
Median fair value$522,968
Avg deal score47/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Porsche 911 GT3 (991) 564652
Porsche 911 GTS (991) 535152
Porsche 911 Turbo (991) 505050

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.