As of October 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical Toyota GR86 is actually worth $31,500 (fair range $27,700 to $35,300). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 16 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $30,000 — about 5% below what these cars have actually been selling for.
Supported but limited value · momentum improving — but volatile.
As of October 2026, the Toyota GR86 market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $27,600, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $25,543 and $28,900. Toyota GR86 prices have decreased 8.3% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $34,345 to $31,500.
The typical Toyota GR86 on the market has 29,680 miles. Listings spend an average of 16 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Toyota GR86 Pricing
A fair price for a Toyota GR86 in October 2026 is between $25,543 and $28,900 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $22,500 to $29,508 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$22,500
Budget / project cars
25th
$25,543
Below average price
Median (50th)
$27,600
Typical market price
75th
$28,900
Above average / premium
90th
$29,508
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $26,444, which is lower than the median, suggesting pricing is relatively symmetrical across the market.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
114
$28,000
10,000 - 25,000 mi
290
$27,797
25,000 - 50,000 mi
362
$27,995
50,000 - 100,000 mi
192
$27,495
100,000 - 150,000 mi
6
$24,080
Toyota GR86 Price Trends
Toyota GR86 prices have decreased 8.3% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $31,500 across 17 sales, down from $34,345 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Toyota GR86 prices are up 5.0% ($31,500 vs. $29,995 a year ago).
Toyota GR86 Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2024-Q4
4
$32,995
$32,221
2025-Q1
7
$29,799
$30,265
2025-Q2
10
$30,750
$30,014
2025-Q3
14
$29,995
$29,131
2025-Q4
12
$29,880
$29,263
2026-Q1
8
$29,500
$29,514
2026-Q2
12
$34,345
$32,959
2026-Q3
17
$31,500
$31,390
Best Value Toyota GR86 by Model Year
The 2022 Toyota GR86 offers the best value with a median price of $26,998 across 268 listings. The most expensive model year is 2025 at a median of $28,100.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
2022
268
$26,998
$2,500
$29,987
2023
386
$27,797
$2,500
$29,987
2024
205
$27,508
$2,500
$29,974
2025
141
$28,100
$3,000
$29,980
How Mileage Affects Toyota GR86 Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the Toyota GR86 from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 5,500 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
399 mi
1.24x
$38,955
4,719 mi
1.14x
$35,982
8,440 mi
1.04x
$32,750
17,396 mi
0.97x
$30,604
44,500 mi
0.93x
$29,416
63,246 mi
0.85x
$26,863
97,980 mi
0.74x
$23,436
154,919 mi
0.66x
$20,761
300,000 mi
0.57x
$18,054
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 399 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.24x the reference value. At the other end, 300,000-mile examples trade at about 0.57x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Toyota GR86 Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↑ UP
58%
volatile
insufficient history
12 months
↑ UP
64%
volatile
insufficient history
24 months
↑ UP
72%
volatile
insufficient history
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the Toyota GR86 — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Toyota GR86
The highest concentration of Toyota GR86 listings is in TX with 254 active listings, followed by CA (78), FL (75), AZ (70), GA (56).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in OH at $25,393, while NJ has the highest at $28,744. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $3,351.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
TX
254
$27,300
CA
78
$28,608
FL
75
$26,300
AZ
70
$27,987
GA
56
$28,500
NV
49
$26,196
UT
37
$25,601
WA
33
$28,700
NM
33
$28,201
NJ
26
$28,744
Toyota GR86 Market Velocity
Toyota GR86 listings spend an average of 16 days on market. This is a fast-moving market. Buyers should expect competitive pricing and be prepared to act quickly on well-priced examples. Sellers can generally expect strong demand.
The median time on market is 16 days.
Toyota GR86 Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $25,543 to $28,900. The median is $27,600. Anything below $25,543 is a strong value; above $28,900 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Trending down: Toyota GR86 prices have dropped 8.3% recently. Patient buyers may benefit from waiting, but desirable examples still sell quickly.
Best value year: The 2022 model year has the lowest median price at $26,998, making it the most accessible entry point into Toyota GR86 ownership.
Act fast: With an average of 16 days on market, good examples sell quickly. Have financing arranged and be ready to move on a listing within days.