As of July 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical Toyota Tundra (XK50) is actually worth $26,200 (fair range $22,400 to $29,300). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 54 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $29,000 — about 11% above what these cars have actually been selling for. That gap favors patient buyers: negotiate from the sold data, not the ask.
As of July 2026, the Toyota Tundra (XK50) market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $9,000, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $6,500 and $11,276. Toyota Tundra (XK50) prices have decreased 30.2% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $40,000 to $27,917.
The typical Toyota Tundra (XK50) on the market has 184,707 miles. Listings spend an average of 16 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Toyota Tundra (XK50) Pricing
A fair price for a Toyota Tundra (XK50) in July 2026 is between $6,500 and $11,276 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $3,900 to $12,000 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$3,900
Budget / project cars
25th
$6,500
Below average price
Median (50th)
$9,000
Typical market price
75th
$11,276
Above average / premium
90th
$12,000
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $8,644, which is lower than the median, suggesting pricing is relatively symmetrical across the market.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
14
$4,500
10,000 - 25,000 mi
14
$7,000
25,000 - 50,000 mi
17
$5,000
50,000 - 100,000 mi
76
$7,000
100,000 - 150,000 mi
198
$7,999
Over 150,000 mi
656
$9,900
Toyota Tundra (XK50) Price Trends
Toyota Tundra (XK50) prices have decreased 30.2% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $27,917 across 3 sales, down from $40,000 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Toyota Tundra (XK50) prices are down 5.4% ($27,917 vs. $29,495 a year ago).
Toyota Tundra (XK50) Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2024-Q4
15
$28,750
$28,507
2025-Q1
28
$29,050
$27,835
2025-Q2
22
$26,544
$26,947
2025-Q3
33
$29,495
$32,059
2025-Q4
46
$31,885
$31,335
2026-Q1
36
$28,500
$28,880
2026-Q2
12
$40,000
$37,513
2026-Q3
3
$27,917
$27,306
Best Value Toyota Tundra (XK50) by Model Year
The 2019 Toyota Tundra (XK50) offers the best value with a median price of $3,998 across 12 listings. The most expensive model year is 2016 at a median of $11,488.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
2007
190
$8,590
$2,500
$12,890
2008
203
$9,223
$2,500
$12,888
2009
27
$7,400
$2,500
$12,499
2010
124
$9,000
$2,500
$12,875
2011
107
$10,000
$2,800
$12,895
2012
96
$10,376
$2,500
$12,756
2013
76
$9,988
$3,000
$12,886
2014
51
$10,598
$2,500
$12,805
2015
44
$9,000
$2,500
$12,757
2016
16
$11,488
$2,500
$12,858
2017
18
$5,000
$2,500
$12,696
2018
8
$9,498
$2,500
$12,884
2019
12
$3,998
$2,500
$10,500
2020
22
$3,999
$2,800
$11,500
2021
6
$4,500
$2,500
$6,000
How Mileage Affects Toyota Tundra (XK50) Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the Toyota Tundra (XK50) from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 62,830 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
1,400 mi
1.54x
$40,223
4,499 mi
1.25x
$32,836
12,538 mi
1.20x
$31,368
23,453 mi
1.17x
$30,657
40,325 mi
1.04x
$27,195
65,169 mi
1.00x
$26,240
96,911 mi
1.01x
$26,352
156,040 mi
0.77x
$20,146
219,105 mi
0.53x
$13,926
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 1,400 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.54x the reference value. At the other end, 219,105-mile examples trade at about 0.53x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Toyota Tundra (XK50) Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↑ UP
45%
volatile
65% over 34 tests
12 months
↑ UP
45%
volatile
64% over 28 tests
24 months
↑ UP
44%
volatile
75% over 16 tests
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the Toyota Tundra (XK50) — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Toyota Tundra (XK50)
The highest concentration of Toyota Tundra (XK50) listings is in TX with 244 active listings, followed by CA (109), FL (90), GA (75), AZ (53).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in TX at $7,200, while IN has the highest at $10,950. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $3,750.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
TX
244
$7,200
CA
109
$9,900
FL
90
$8,194
GA
75
$8,000
AZ
53
$7,500
CO
51
$9,900
IL
39
$10,899
MA
32
$8,200
MI
31
$9,995
NJ
27
$10,900
Toyota Tundra (XK50) Market Velocity
Toyota Tundra (XK50) listings spend an average of 16 days on market. This is a fast-moving market. Buyers should expect competitive pricing and be prepared to act quickly on well-priced examples. Sellers can generally expect strong demand.
The median time on market is 14 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Toyota Tundra (XK50) Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $6,500 to $11,276. The median is $9,000. Anything below $6,500 is a strong value; above $11,276 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Trending down: Toyota Tundra (XK50) prices have dropped 30.2% recently. Patient buyers may benefit from waiting, but desirable examples still sell quickly.
Best value year: The 2019 model year has the lowest median price at $3,998, making it the most accessible entry point into Toyota Tundra (XK50) ownership.
Act fast: With an average of 16 days on market, good examples sell quickly. Have financing arranged and be ready to move on a listing within days.