What a Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Is Actually Worth
True Value$16,400
Fair Range$14,500 - $18,400
Median Recent Sold$18,000
VerdictWATCH
As of October 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) is actually worth $16,400 (fair range $14,500 to $18,400). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 89 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $8,700 — about 47% below what these cars have actually been selling for. Asks sitting below recent sold values can signal softening demand or motivated sellers.
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Market Summary
As of October 2026, the Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $7,495, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $4,800 and $9,982. Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) prices have decreased 9.8% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $16,995 to $15,330.
The typical Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) on the market has 200,000 miles. Listings spend an average of 73 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Pricing
A fair price for a Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) in October 2026 is between $4,800 and $9,982 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $3,400 to $11,495 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$3,400
Budget / project cars
25th
$4,800
Below average price
Median (50th)
$7,495
Typical market price
75th
$9,982
Above average / premium
90th
$11,495
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $7,386, which is lower than the median, suggesting pricing is relatively symmetrical across the market.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
13
$4,600
10,000 - 25,000 mi
8
$7,000
25,000 - 50,000 mi
6
$6,500
50,000 - 100,000 mi
16
$11,000
100,000 - 150,000 mi
150
$10,298
Over 150,000 mi
766
$6,900
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Price Trends
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) prices have decreased 9.8% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q4, the median sale price was $15,330 across 4 sales, down from $16,995 in 2026-Q3.
On a year-over-year basis, Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) prices are down 14.8% ($15,330 vs. $18,000 a year ago).
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2025-Q1
23
$17,600
$20,232
2025-Q2
13
$12,675
$19,051
2025-Q3
19
$19,750
$20,003
2025-Q4
21
$18,000
$17,619
2026-Q1
15
$12,600
$15,045
2026-Q2
51
$13,990
$16,028
2026-Q3
99
$16,995
$16,177
2026-Q4
4
$15,330
$15,081
Best Value Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) by Model Year
The 2000 Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) offers the best value with a median price of $5,500 across 135 listings. The most expensive model year is 2004 at a median of $8,900.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
2000
135
$5,500
$2,500
$12,995
2001
95
$6,250
$2,500
$12,990
2002
105
$5,800
$2,500
$12,694
2003
138
$7,500
$2,500
$12,995
2004
133
$8,900
$2,500
$12,995
2005
115
$7,786
$2,500
$12,995
2006
278
$8,399
$2,500
$12,995
How Mileage Affects Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 74,000 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
1,118 mi
1.43x
$23,475
5,254 mi
1.25x
$20,441
13,000 mi
1.26x
$20,639
21,776 mi
1.19x
$19,440
39,468 mi
1.25x
$20,562
65,397 mi
1.06x
$17,356
95,554 mi
0.88x
$14,498
144,598 mi
0.70x
$11,490
224,916 mi
0.63x
$10,264
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 1,118 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.43x the reference value. At the other end, 224,916-mile examples trade at about 0.63x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↓ DOWN
53%
volatile
58% over 43 tests
12 months
↓ DOWN
52%
volatile
35% over 37 tests
24 months
→ FLAT
50%
volatile
40% over 25 tests
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006)
The highest concentration of Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) listings is in CA with 179 active listings, followed by TX (153), FL (81), GA (62), CO (62).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in MI at $4,000, while VA has the highest at $9,995. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $5,995.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
CA
179
$7,105
TX
153
$6,510
FL
81
$5,088
GA
62
$6,500
CO
62
$9,990
AZ
60
$8,995
WA
48
$7,195
VA
46
$9,995
IL
39
$8,700
MA
30
$5,000
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Market Velocity
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) listings spend an average of 73 days on market. This is a slower market. Buyers have negotiating leverage, especially on listings that have been active for 60+ days. Sellers should consider competitive pricing from the start.
The median time on market is 37 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $4,800 to $9,982. The median is $7,495. Anything below $4,800 is a strong value; above $9,982 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Trending down: Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) prices have dropped 9.8% recently. Patient buyers may benefit from waiting, but desirable examples still sell quickly.
Best value year: The 2000 model year has the lowest median price at $5,500, making it the most accessible entry point into Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) ownership.
Negotiate: With an average of 73 days on market, sellers are often willing to negotiate. Listings over 60 days old are especially open to offers.