What a Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Is Actually Worth
True Value$14,500
Fair Range$12,800 - $16,300
Median Recent Sold$17,500
VerdictUNDERVALUED
As of August 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) is actually worth $14,500 (fair range $12,800 to $16,300). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 85 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $8,900 — about 39% below what these cars have actually been selling for. Asks sitting below recent sold values can signal softening demand or motivated sellers.
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Market Summary
As of August 2026, the Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $6,000, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $4,000 and $7,595. Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) prices have increased 21.5% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $13,990 to $16,995.
The typical Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) on the market has 213,000 miles. Listings spend an average of 80 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Pricing
A fair price for a Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) in August 2026 is between $4,000 and $7,595 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $3,000 to $8,700 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$3,000
Budget / project cars
25th
$4,000
Below average price
Median (50th)
$6,000
Typical market price
75th
$7,595
Above average / premium
90th
$8,700
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $5,916, which is lower than the median, suggesting pricing is relatively symmetrical across the market.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
13
$4,500
10,000 - 25,000 mi
15
$4,800
25,000 - 50,000 mi
7
$5,000
50,000 - 100,000 mi
13
$6,500
100,000 - 150,000 mi
92
$6,400
Over 150,000 mi
815
$6,120
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Price Trends
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) prices have increased 21.5% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $16,995 across 53 sales, up from $13,990 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) prices are down 13.9% ($16,995 vs. $19,750 a year ago).
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2024-Q4
9
$17,500
$20,183
2025-Q1
23
$17,600
$20,232
2025-Q2
13
$12,675
$19,051
2025-Q3
19
$19,750
$20,003
2025-Q4
21
$18,000
$17,619
2026-Q1
15
$12,600
$15,045
2026-Q2
48
$13,990
$15,969
2026-Q3
53
$16,995
$16,138
Best Value Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) by Model Year
The 2000 Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) offers the best value with a median price of $4,100 across 173 listings. The most expensive model year is 2006 at a median of $6,700.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
2000
173
$4,100
$2,500
$9,250
2001
76
$5,900
$2,500
$9,084
2002
113
$5,990
$2,500
$9,000
2003
136
$6,000
$2,500
$9,491
2004
104
$6,500
$2,500
$9,495
2005
110
$6,500
$2,500
$9,477
2006
287
$6,700
$2,500
$9,497
How Mileage Affects Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 73,150 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
1,118 mi
1.51x
$21,828
5,254 mi
1.27x
$18,475
13,000 mi
1.24x
$17,910
21,478 mi
1.18x
$17,045
39,125 mi
1.24x
$18,038
65,059 mi
1.05x
$15,295
94,905 mi
0.89x
$12,935
144,236 mi
0.70x
$10,131
226,520 mi
0.62x
$8,982
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 1,118 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.51x the reference value. At the other end, 226,520-mile examples trade at about 0.62x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↑ UP
47%
volatile
61% over 41 tests
12 months
↑ UP
46%
volatile
34% over 35 tests
24 months
↑ UP
46%
volatile
26% over 23 tests
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006)
The highest concentration of Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) listings is in CA with 160 active listings, followed by TX (134), FL (90), GA (65), WA (58).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in MA at $3,500, while VA has the highest at $7,598. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $4,098.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
CA
160
$6,000
TX
134
$5,500
FL
90
$5,990
GA
65
$5,700
WA
58
$6,000
AZ
55
$4,900
CO
50
$5,500
MA
36
$3,500
IL
29
$5,500
IN
27
$6,500
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Market Velocity
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) listings spend an average of 80 days on market. This is a slow-moving market. Listings tend to sit for extended periods, giving buyers significant negotiating power. Sellers should be realistic on pricing and patient.
The median time on market is 40 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $4,000 to $7,595. The median is $6,000. Anything below $4,000 is a strong value; above $7,595 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Trending up: Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) prices have risen 21.5% recently. Buying sooner may save money if the trend continues.
Best value year: The 2000 model year has the lowest median price at $4,100, making it the most accessible entry point into Toyota Tundra XK30/XK40 (2000-2006) ownership.
Negotiate: With an average of 80 days on market, sellers are often willing to negotiate. Listings over 60 days old are especially open to offers.