Toyota GR86 Market Analysis — August 2026
Executive Summary
The Toyota GR86 market is currently stable, with a year-over-year price change of 0.1%. The average asking price remains competitive, suggesting a balanced demand and supply scenario. An actionable insight is to focus on listings under 50,000 miles, as they command higher prices and may offer better resale value.
Market Snapshot
- Current inventory: 391 active listings
- Median asking price: $28,990 (historical median: $30,025)
- Price trend: Stable (0.1% YoY)
- Market velocity: 33 days average time on market
PRICE TRENDS & APPRECIATION
Analyzing the quarterly trends, the GR86 market has shown stability with slight fluctuations in prices. For instance, in Q2 2026, the median price was $34,345, which is a notable increase from Q1 2026's median of $29,500. However, the average price in Q3 2025 was lower at $28,615, indicating some volatility. Overall, the market appears stable, with recent sales aligning closely with current asking prices.
Auction Market Dynamics
The sell-through rate stands at 75%, indicating a healthy auction environment. The median price for sold vehicles is $31,036, while the median high bid is significantly lower at $25,125. This suggests a reserve gap, where sellers may have unrealistic expectations compared to what buyers are willing to pay. The ratio of sold to unsold/high_bid indicates that while there is interest, sellers may need to adjust their expectations to facilitate sales.
Configuration Value Guide
The body style breakdown shows that the Coupe configuration is the most prevalent, with an average price of $23,476 and a median price of $26,444. The price by year indicates that the 2025 model commands the highest average price of $30,993, followed by the 2024 model at $29,252. Buyers should prioritize newer models for better value retention.
Mileage Impact
Mileage analysis reveals that vehicles with under 50,000 miles average $28,503, while those between 50,000 and 100,000 miles average $24,064. This indicates a premium of approximately $4,439 for low-mileage vehicles, making them more attractive to buyers.
Regional Pricing
Geographic distribution shows that the West region has the highest average price at $28,830, while the South has the lowest at $26,535. This suggests potential arbitrage opportunities for buyers in the South looking to purchase and resell in the West.
Market Health Indicators
The average days on market is 33, with 80 new listings this week and 115 listings experiencing price reductions. This indicates a balanced supply and demand scenario, although the number of price reductions suggests some softness in demand.
Investment Outlook
Given the stable price trend and the slight appreciation observed in recent quarters, the GR86 appears to be a stable asset class. While not rapidly appreciating, it holds value well, making it a reasonable hold for current owners.
Buying Recommendations
Potential buyers should focus on GR86 models from 2025 or newer, particularly those with under 50,000 miles, as they offer better resale value. Target price ranges should be between $28,000 and $31,000 for these configurations. Buyers should also be cautious of listings with high asking prices compared to auction outcomes, as this may indicate sellers' unrealistic expectations.
This analysis is generated from CarSearch.Pro's market database (84 historical sales, 391 active listings across 14 marketplaces) and refreshed automatically. It is market commentary, not financial advice.