Toyota GR86 Market Analysis — June 2026
Executive Summary
The Toyota GR86 market is currently stable, with a year-over-year price change of -1.0%. The median asking price is $29,993, reflecting a slight depreciation compared to the previous year. An actionable insight is to focus on listings from 2025, which have shown a higher average price of $32,895, indicating potential value retention.
Market Snapshot
- Current inventory: 426 active listings
- Median asking price: $29,993 (historical median: $30,000)
- Price trend: Stable (-1.0% YoY)
- Market velocity: 27 days average time on market
PRICE TRENDS & APPRECIATION
The quarterly trends indicate a stable market with slight fluctuations in median prices. For instance, Q4 2025 saw a median price of $29,440, while Q2 2026 showed an increase to $33,333. The average price in Q2 2026 was $33,764, indicating a potential upward trend in recent months. However, the overall year-over-year price change of -1.0% suggests that while there are periods of appreciation, the long-term trend remains stable.
Auction Market Dynamics
The sell-through rate stands at 74.3%, indicating a relatively healthy auction market. The median price for sold vehicles is $30,676, while the median high bid is significantly lower at $25,125, revealing a reserve gap that suggests sellers may have unrealistic expectations. The ratio of sold to unsold/high_bid indicates that while there is demand, sellers may need to adjust their pricing strategies to align with buyer willingness.
Configuration Value Guide
The body style breakdown shows that the Coupe configuration is the primary offering, with an average price of $24,921 and a median price of $28,245. The price by year indicates that 2025 models command the highest prices, averaging $32,895, compared to $25,542 for 2022 models. This suggests that newer models are retaining value better than older ones.
Mileage Impact
Mileage analysis reveals that vehicles with under 50,000 miles average $28,879, while those with 50,000 to 100,000 miles average $26,256. Vehicles over 100,000 miles average $22,730, indicating that buyers are willing to pay a premium of approximately $2,623 for low-mileage vehicles compared to those with higher mileage.
Regional Pricing
Geographic distribution shows that the West region has the highest inventory count (236) with an average price of $29,086, while the South has a lower average price of $27,460 with 144 listings. This suggests potential arbitrage opportunities for buyers in the South looking to purchase at lower prices compared to the West.
Market Health Indicators
The average days on market is 27, which indicates that listings are selling relatively quickly. However, the presence of 124 listings with price reductions suggests that some sellers may be struggling to meet market expectations. The introduction of 55 new listings this week indicates a steady supply, which could impact future pricing dynamics.
Investment Outlook
Given the stable trend direction and slight depreciation, the GR86 may not be classified as an appreciating asset class at this time. However, the recent uptick in prices in Q2 2026 could indicate a potential for value retention, making it a hold recommendation for current owners.
Buying Recommendations
Prospective buyers should focus on 2025 models, which show higher average prices and better value retention. Target price ranges should be between $28,000 and $32,000 for vehicles with under 50,000 miles. Buyers should be cautious of listings with significant price reductions, as this may indicate overpricing or market saturation. A realistic bidding strategy at auctions should consider the median sold price of $30,676, while being aware of the reserve gap indicated by the high bid prices.
This analysis is generated from CarSearch.Pro's market database (80 historical sales, 426 active listings across 14 marketplaces) and refreshed automatically. It is market commentary, not financial advice.