Toyota GR86 Market Analysis — September 2026
Executive Summary
The Toyota GR86 market is currently stable, with a year-over-year price increase of 1.3%. The average asking price remains competitive, and the sell-through rate of 75% indicates a healthy demand relative to supply. An actionable insight is to focus on listings with lower mileage, as they command higher prices.
Market Snapshot
- Current inventory: 419 active listings
- Median asking price: $29,289 (historical median: $30,025)
- Price trend: Stable (1.3% YoY)
- Market velocity: 44 days average time on market
PRICE TRENDS & APPRECIATION
The quarterly trends indicate a stable market with slight fluctuations in prices. For instance, in 2026-Q2, the average price was $33,101, showing an increase from $29,723 in 2026-Q1. The median price in 2025-Q4 was $29,440, suggesting a slight appreciation trend from previous quarters. Overall, the market appears stable with no significant depreciation or appreciation observed.
Auction Market Dynamics
The sell-through rate stands at 75%, with 27 vehicles sold out of 45 last asking prices. The median price for sold vehicles is $31,036, while the median high bid is significantly lower at $25,125. This indicates a reserve gap, suggesting that sellers may have unrealistic expectations regarding pricing. The ratio of sold to unsold/high_bid indicates that while there is demand, sellers may need to adjust their expectations to align with buyer willingness to pay.
Configuration Value Guide
The body style breakdown shows that the Coupe configuration is the primary offering, with an average price of $23,335 and a median price of $25,000. The price by year indicates that the 2025 model commands a higher average price of $30,728 compared to the 2022 model at $25,886. This suggests that newer models are valued more highly, reflecting buyer preference for newer configurations.
Mileage Impact
The mileage analysis reveals that vehicles with under 50,000 miles average $28,386, while those with 50,000-100,000 miles average $25,513. Vehicles over 100,000 miles average $25,339. This indicates that buyers are willing to pay a premium of approximately $2,873 for vehicles with lower mileage, highlighting the importance of mileage in pricing.
Regional Pricing
Geographic distribution shows that the West region has the highest inventory count at 226 listings, with an average price of $28,172. The South follows with 130 listings at an average price of $26,967. The Northeast has a higher average price of $30,330 despite having fewer listings (44). Buyers may find better value in the South, where prices are lower compared to the West and Northeast.
Market Health Indicators
The average days on market is 44, with a median of 34 days, indicating that listings are selling relatively quickly. However, the presence of 144 listings with price reductions suggests that some sellers are adjusting their expectations. The introduction of 63 new listings this week indicates a steady supply in the market.
Investment Outlook
Given the stable price trend and the slight appreciation observed in recent quarters, the GR86 appears to be a stable asset class. While not experiencing significant appreciation, it does not show signs of depreciation either. A hold recommendation is advised for current owners, while potential buyers should consider the value of lower mileage vehicles.
Buying Recommendations
For prospective buyers, focusing on the Coupe configuration from 2025 or newer models is advisable, as they command higher prices and are more desirable. Target price ranges should be around $28,000 to $31,000 for vehicles with under 50,000 miles. Buyers should be cautious of listings with high asking prices that do not align with recent auction outcomes, particularly those with significant gaps between sold and high bid prices.
This analysis is generated from CarSearch.Pro's market database (86 historical sales, 419 active listings across 14 marketplaces) and refreshed automatically. It is market commentary, not financial advice.