Pontiac Firebird (1993-2002) Trans Am WS6
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%, and asking +7% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 24 yr, 25k mi example, ~$28.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 60% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 42 scored forecasts: 60% got the direction right, median value error ±18%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 241 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±17%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | 2002 · 0k mi | $24.2K–$79.2K | $41.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-24 | 1999 · 6k mi | $18.9K–$61.8K | $43.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-20 | 2002 · 17k mi | $16.4K–$53.7K | $41.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-19 | 1999 · 2k mi | $21.2K–$69.4K | $56.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-15 | 2002 · 59k mi | $11.9K–$38.9K | $33.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-12 | 2002 · 56k mi | $12.1K–$39.6K | $12.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-11 | 2002 · 13k mi | $17.1K–$55.7K | $28.7K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-11 | 2002 | $11.7K–$49.6K | $24.6K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1998 · 5k mi | classic | $16.6K–$76.5K ($35.6K) |
| open | 2002 · 1k mi | ebay | $19.3K–$89.7K ($41.6K) |
| open | 2002 · 31k mi | ebay | $12.2K–$56.6K ($26.3K) |
| open | 2002 · 1k mi | classic | $19.2K–$89.2K ($41.4K) |
| open | 2000 · 29k mi | ebay | $12.4K–$57.5K ($26.7K) |
| open | 1999 · 4k mi | ebay | $16.6K–$76.9K ($35.7K) |
| open | 1998 · 12k mi | classic | $14.5K–$67.1K ($31.2K) |
| open | 1999 · 10k mi | classic | $14.9K–$69.2K ($32.1K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 50% | Low | 63% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 60% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 47% | Low | 37% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Gold (futures) and 10-Year Treasury Yield.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-04 → today (13.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.72). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pontiac Firebird (1993-2002) Formula | 38 | 29 | 19 |
| Pontiac Firebird (1993-2002) Trans Am | 14 | 50 | 16 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$21,499 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,500 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$16,650 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,500 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.