Dodge Viper GTS

VIPER GTS CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$81.4K ▲ $465 (+0.6%)12 mo
BUYER ADVANTAGEPriced above trend — but volatile.
Well supported · 285 sold + 139 active
Fair value$81.4K ($71.6K–$91.1K)
Typical ask$94.9K
Recent sold$73.0K
Current valueHigh
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up · 58% calls right
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($73k), not asking prices ($95k).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$67.9Ksells fast
Fair$73.0Krecent comps
List$78.1Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$98.6Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $71.6K · Fair $71.6K–$91.1K · careful above $109K

Flagged undervalued because sell-through 92%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 27 yr, 12k mi example, ~$81.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2012-05 2026-09 $260K $30.3K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 603 confirmed sales (602 auction · 1 other)·872 sales tracked·173 months tracked·since 2012-05·517 active listings

Did our model work? 58% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 79 scored forecasts: 58% got the direction right, median value error ±35%.

2012-01 2026-09 $89.6K $5.2K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10

We replayed 259 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±12%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-09-16 2000 · 31k mi $43.6K–$97.3K $56.5K ✓
2026-09-11 1999 · 6k mi $58.5K–$131K $90.0K ✓
2026-08-25 1997 · 18k mi $47.3K–$106K $60.5K ✓
2026-08-25 1997 · 18k mi $39.5K–$111K $60.5K ✓
2026-08-20 2000 · 4k mi $60.1K–$134K $77.5K ✓
2026-08-07 2001 · 14k mi $50.3K–$112K $81.0K ✓
2026-07-31 1997 · 15k mi $49.0K–$110K $66.7K ✓
2026-07-25 1997 · 1k mi $69.6K–$155K $123K ✓

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 7 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 2002 · 9k mi classic $50.0K–$142K ($84.3K)
open 2002 · 11k mi classic $44.8K–$126K ($75.3K)
open 2000 · 39k mi classic $34.8K–$97.8K ($58.3K)
open 1998 · 53k mi classic $44.5K–$143K ($79.7K)
open 1998 · 54k mi classic $44.5K–$143K ($79.7K)
open 1997 · 25k mi classic $44.5K–$143K ($79.7K)
open 1998 · 22k mi classic $44.5K–$143K ($79.7K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2012-05 now +24mo $275K $2.0K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 49% Low 60%
12 mo DOWN 48% Low 58%
24 mo DOWN 47% Low 54%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 11 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$81.9K now +11mo 2012-05 $93.0K $38.8K
BECAUSE credit spreads rose 3%. THEREFORE, given its usual 11-month head start, we lean UP — about +1% (≈ +$515) over the next 11 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.70, 18 months overlap).

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 79% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Gold (futures) and 2-Year Treasury Yield, though Ethereum (USD) points the other way.

⚠ The price trend and leading indicators disagree — momentum may be running ahead of the fundamentals.
now +12mo (indicators) $133K $38.8K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

Gold (futures)+1.42-Year Treasury Yiel+1.7WTI Crude Oil+2.3Advance Retail Sales+1.5Russell 2000 (small +1.2Nonfarm Payrolls (jo+1.1Trade-Weighted Dolla+1.2Ethereum (USD)-1.3 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2012

$100K invested 2012-05 → today (14.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$167K$755K$280K$626K$239K 2012 2026 1104 100
━ This car $167K━ S&P 500 $755K━ Gold $280K━ Luxury $626K━ Housing $239K
Roughly tracked inflation — flat in real terms. The Dodge Viper GTS roughly 1.7×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.1× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 78% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-30%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 11 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.70). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Dodge Viper GTS ┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +11mo
2024-02 2026-09

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
81
Undervaluation
13
Liquidity
42
Speculation Opportunity
46
Depreciation Risk
31
Overvaluation
90
+178% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
+122% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
asking +36% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
sale prices +6.0%/mo median sale trend slope
+41% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
inventory +0% inventory trend slope
48% relisted listing reappearance rate
new-listing velocity 1% of active new listing velocity

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings517
Median fair value$62,280
Avg deal score51/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Dodge Viper (1996-2002) ACR 315546

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.