BUILDINGStill gathering enough sold history to call this market.
Fair value$175K ($154K–$196K)
Typical ask$184K
Recent sold$71.7K
12-mo outlookSlightly up · 6-in-10 up
ConfidenceModerate
Buyer: Too few confirmed sales to anchor a fair price yet — treat the number as a rough guide.
Seller: Thin sold history here — comparable sales are limited; price conservatively.
Watcher: Not enough confirmed sales yet — worth a watch as data accrues.
Showing appreciation momentum: +25% vs 12-mo avg, and sale prices +1.1%/mo.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 5 yr, 3k mi example, ~$175K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 208 confirmed sales·64 months tracked·since 2021-03·242 active listings
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2019 · 3k mi
classic
$87.3K–$280K ($156K)
open
2019 · 11k mi
classic
$87.3K–$280K ($156K)
open
2019 · 19k mi
classic
$87.3K–$280K ($156K)
open
2019 · 7k mi
classic
$87.3K–$280K ($156K)
open
2019 · 30k mi
classic
$87.3K–$280K ($156K)
open
2019 · 12k mi
classic
$87.3K–$280K ($156K)
open
2019 · 0k mi
classic
$87.3K–$280K ($156K)
open
2019 · 5k mi
classic
$87.3K–$280K ($156K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
53%
Low
—
12 mo
UP
56%
Low
—
24 mo
UP
59%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Silver has historically led it by about 4 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE Silver fell 23%. THEREFORE, given its usual 4-month head start, we lean DOWN — about −4% (≈ −$7,059) over the next 4 months. Confidence: High (correlation +0.79, 37 months overlap).
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 75% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Silver and 10Y-2Y Yield Spread, though WTI Crude Oil points the other way.
Trend and leading indicators agree — both point up. Higher-conviction read.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-03 → today (5.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $118K━ S&P 500 $210K━ Gold $266K━ Luxury $99.5K━ Housing $135K₿ Bitcoin $117K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Chevrolet Corvette C7 ZR1 roughly 1.2×'d your money (a real 6% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 44% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-13%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
2-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 16 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 ZR1┄ 2-Year Treasury Yield, shifted +16mo
Effective Fed Funds Rate leads by about 14 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.
10Y-2Y Yield Spread leads by about 15 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 15 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 ZR1┄ 10Y-2Y Yield Spread, shifted +15mo
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.79). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 ZR1┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +0mo
WTI Crude Oil leads by about 24 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.79). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 ZR1┄ WTI Crude Oil, shifted +24mo
Silver leads by about 4 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.79). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 ZR1┄ Silver, shifted +4mo
30-Year Mortgage Rate leads by about 8 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.78). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 ZR1┄ 30-Year Mortgage Rate, shifted +8mo
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 13 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.77). Shown shifted forward 13 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 ZR1┄ Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs), shifted +13mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
67
Undervaluation
30
Liquidity
46
Speculation Opportunity
53
Depreciation Risk
41
Overvaluation
65
+31% vs 2-yr avgpct vs trailing 24mo
+28% vs 3-yr trendpct vs trailing 36mo
+25% vs 12-mo avgpct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices +1.1%/momedian sale trend slope
27% relistedlisting reappearance rate
new-listing velocity 7% of activenew listing velocity
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$49,900 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$25,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$25,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$49,900 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$83,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.