Flagged undervalued because -22% vs 2-yr avg, and -23% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 7 yr, 11k mi example, ~$58.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 171 confirmed auction sales·92 months tracked·since 2018-12·123 active listings
Did our model work? 44% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 36 scored forecasts: 44% got the direction right, median value error ±28%.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
44%
Low
57%
12 mo
UP
44%
Low
44%
24 mo
UP
44%
Low
29%
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. VIX Volatility Index has historically led it by about 19 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE market volatility (VIX) fell 2%. THEREFORE, given its usual 19-month head start, we lean UP — about +1% (≈ +$345) over the next 19 months. Confidence: High (correlation -0.69, 38 months overlap).
If You’d Bought in 2018
$100K invested 2018-12 → today (7.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $78.5K━ S&P 500 $344K━ Gold $319K━ Luxury $252K━ Housing $163K₿ Bitcoin ×17 (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Chevrolet Corvette C7 Grand Sport roughly 0.8×'d your money (a real 40% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 77% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-52%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
VIX Volatility Index leads by about 19 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 Grand Sport┄ VIX Volatility Index, shifted +19mo
S&P 500 leads by about 11 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.65). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 Grand Sport┄ S&P 500, shifted +11mo
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 21 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.64). Shown shifted forward 21 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 Grand Sport┄ LVMH (luxury proxy ADR), shifted +21mo
Nasdaq Composite leads by about 13 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.64). Shown shifted forward 13 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 Grand Sport┄ Nasdaq Composite, shifted +13mo
Trade-Weighted Dollar Index leads by about 9 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.64). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 Grand Sport┄ Trade-Weighted Dollar Index, shifted +9mo
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 11 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 Grand Sport┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +11mo
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 22 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.62). Shown shifted forward 22 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 Grand Sport┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +22mo
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 10 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 10 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C7 Grand Sport┄ Russell 2000 (small cap), shifted +10mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
47
Undervaluation
45
Liquidity
54
Speculation Opportunity
44
Depreciation Risk
51
Overvaluation
50
asking +23% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$14,995 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$114,995 vs prior
price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-5.0)
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,183 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.