Blended value of a standard 7 yr, 50k mi example, ~$56.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 42 confirmed sales·5 months tracked·since 2026-02·1187 active listings
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2018 · 12k mi
classic
$27.3K–$116K ($56.2K)
open
2017
C&B
$27.3K–$116K ($56.2K)
open
2017 · 46k mi
ebay
$27.3K–$116K ($56.2K)
open
2023 · 2k mi
classic
$30.4K–$129K ($62.7K)
open
2022 · 33k mi
classic
$30.4K–$129K ($62.7K)
open
2021 · 17k mi
classic
$30.4K–$129K ($62.7K)
open
2019 · 6k mi
classic
$30.4K–$129K ($62.7K)
open
2018 · 11k mi
classic
$30.4K–$129K ($62.7K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
DOWN
50%
Low
—
12 mo
DOWN
49%
Low
—
24 mo
DOWN
47%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Housing Starts has historically led it by about 2 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE Housing Starts rose 9%. THEREFORE, given its usual 2-month head start, we lean UP — about +3% (≈ +$1,532) over the next 2 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.56, 29 months overlap).
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 26% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Unemployment Rate and Housing Starts, though Unemployment Rate points the other way.
⚠ The price trend and leading indicators disagree — momentum may be running ahead of the fundamentals.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-07 → today (4.9 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $93.6K━ S&P 500 $189K━ Gold $251K━ Luxury $82.0K━ Housing $124K₿ Bitcoin $166K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen ZL1 roughly 0.9×'d your money (a real 23% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 50% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-25%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Housing Starts leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.56). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen ZL1┄ Housing Starts, shifted +2mo
Silver leads by about 3 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.53). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen ZL1┄ Silver, shifted +3mo
Unemployment Rate leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.52). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen ZL1┄ Unemployment Rate, shifted +1mo
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 18 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.51). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen ZL1┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +18mo
Trade-Weighted Dollar Index leads by about 16 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.49). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen ZL1┄ Trade-Weighted Dollar Index, shifted +16mo
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 23 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 23 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen ZL1┄ LVMH (luxury proxy ADR), shifted +23mo
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 16 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen ZL1┄ LVMH (luxury proxy ADR), shifted +16mo
VIX Volatility Index leads by about 19 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen ZL1┄ VIX Volatility Index, shifted +19mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
62
Undervaluation
45
Liquidity
58
Speculation Opportunity
53
Depreciation Risk
39
Overvaluation
54
+23% vs 3-yr trendpct vs trailing 36mo
+21% vs 2-yr avgpct vs trailing 24mo
sell-through 100%sell through rate
+17% vs 12-mo avgpct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices +0.8%/momedian sale trend slope
29 days on marketmedian days on market
new-listing velocity 6% of activenew listing velocity
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,903 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,000 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,903 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.