Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) Z28

CAMARO 4TH GEN Z28 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$16.0K ▲ $2.9K (+22.0%)12 mo
WATCHPriced above trend — but volatile.
Fair value$16.0K ($14.0K–$17.9K)
Typical ask$17.1K
Recent sold$16.3K
12-mo outlookRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
ConfidenceHigh · 45% calls right
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($16k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($16k); expect negotiation.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend before acting.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$14.0Ksells fast
Fair$16.3Krecent comps
List$17.4Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$21.9Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $14.0K · Fair $14.0K–$17.9K · careful above $21.9K

Flagged undervalued because asking -20% vs historic sold.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 28 yr, 44k mi example, ~$16.0K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2012-01 2026-06 $66.5K $0
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 778 confirmed sales·174 months tracked·since 2012-01·10 active listings

Did our model work? 45% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 38 scored forecasts: 45% got the direction right, median value error ±16%.

2021-03 2026-06 $23.5K $6.2K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10

We replayed 289 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±19%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-05-16 1999 · 31k mi $9.8K–$28.7K $20.9K
2026-05-14 1999 · 0k mi $17.2K–$50.4K $45.1K
2026-05-13 1993 · 1k mi $15.6K–$45.7K $25.3K
2026-04-09 1993 · 58k mi $7.5K–$22.0K $14.5K
2026-04-05 1997 · 23k mi $10.1K–$29.7K $12.5K
2026-03-23 1994 · 24k mi $9.8K–$28.8K $5.3K
2026-03-15 1999 · 26k mi $9.6K–$28.3K $13.4K
2026-02-06 1997 · 49k mi $8.0K–$23.6K $13.8K

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2012-01 now +24mo $53.3K $5.6K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 52% Low 68%
12 mo DOWN 50% Low 45%
24 mo DOWN 50% Low 42%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 1 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$16.1K now +1mo 2012-01 $16.7K $6.6K
BECAUSE credit spreads held roughly flat. THEREFORE, given its usual 1-month head start, we lean UP — about +1% (≈ +$149) over the next 1 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.57, 24 months overlap).

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 76% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment and US Regular Gas Price, though High-Yield Bond Spread points the other way.

⚠ The price trend and leading indicators disagree — momentum may be running ahead of the fundamentals.
now +12mo (indicators) $23.1K $6.6K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

U. Michigan Consumer+0.3US Regular Gas Price+3.0Gold (futures)+1.2Consumer Discretiona+0.4S&P 500+0.030-Year Mortgage Rat+0.9High-Yield Bond Spre-0.5Real Disposable Inco+1.1 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2012

$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$96.7K$743K$261K$670K$246K 2012 2026 1035 100
━ This car $96.7K━ S&P 500 $743K━ Gold $261K━ Luxury $670K━ Housing $246K
Lost ground to inflation. The Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) Z28 roughly 1.0×'d your money (a real 34% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 87% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-61%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.57). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) Z28 ┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +1mo
2023-04 2026-06

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
34
Undervaluation
35
Liquidity
6
Speculation Opportunity
34
Depreciation Risk
87
Overvaluation
76
sell-through 79% sell through rate
asking -20% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
+5% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
sale prices +0.7%/mo median sale trend slope
-4% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
236 days on market median days on market
32% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings10
Median fair value$9,842
Avg deal score60/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) SS 213313

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.