Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) SS

CAMARO 4TH GEN SS CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$22.3K ▲ $113 (+0.5%)12 mo
BUYER ADVANTAGEAsks running above recent sales — but volatile.
Auction-supported · 128 sold + 6 active (auction-led)
Fair value$22.3K ($19.6K–$25.0K)
Typical ask$31.5K
Recent sold$21.9K
Current valueHigh
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up · 63% calls right
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($22k), not asking prices ($32k).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$19.6Ksells fast
Fair$21.9Krecent comps
List$23.4Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$29.5Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $19.6K · Fair $19.6K–$25.0K · careful above $37.6K

The market for the Chevrolet Camaro SS (1993-2002) signals a slight upward price movement over 6, 12, and 24 months, with probabilities of 0.5, 0.51, and 0.53 respectively, all within a volatile regime. This outlook, with a confidence of 0.935, notes an overvaluation score of 59.65 and a liquidity score of 36.85. The High-Yield Bond Spread is the strongest leading indicator, correlating at 0.76 with a 19-month lead.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 26 yr, 27k mi example, ~$22.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2012-01 2026-10 $36.9K $5.1K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 673 confirmed auction sales·178 months tracked·since 2012-01·22 active listings

Did our model work? 63% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 105 scored forecasts: 63% got the direction right, median value error ±20%.

2011-07 2026-10 $42.3K $6.2K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 10 in 10

We replayed 60 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±16%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 10 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2022-09-24 2002 · 11k mi $12.9K–$40.3K $29.1K ✓
2022-09-21 1997 · 50k mi $9.2K–$28.7K $15.5K ✓
2022-09-20 2000 · 15k mi $12.6K–$39.4K $35.0K ✓
2022-09-16 2000 · 36k mi $10.4K–$32.4K $22.0K ✓
2022-09-14 2001 · 36k mi $10.4K–$32.4K $19.5K ✓
2022-09-08 2002 · 4k mi $14.6K–$45.4K $33.0K ✓
2022-09-07 2002 · 25k mi $11.7K–$36.4K $35.0K ✓
2022-08-26 1998 · 5k mi $14.4K–$44.9K $31.8K ✓

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2012-01 now +24mo $122K $5.1K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo UP 50% Low 66%
12 mo DOWN 48% Low 63%
24 mo FLAT 50% Low 52%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 11 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$22.4K now +11mo 2012-01 $26.9K $13.9K
BECAUSE credit spreads rose 12%. THEREFORE, given its usual 11-month head start, we expect little change — about +0% (≈ +$102) over the next 11 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.70, 18 months overlap).

If You’d Bought in 2012

$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$144K$765K$236K$529K$251K 2012 2026 1035 100
━ This car $144K━ S&P 500 $765K━ Gold $236K━ Luxury $529K━ Housing $251K
Roughly tracked inflation — flat in real terms. The Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) SS roughly 1.4×'d your money (a real 2% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 81% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-43%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 11 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.70). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) SS ┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +11mo
2024-02 2026-10

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
56
Undervaluation
48
Liquidity
37
Speculation Opportunity
55
Depreciation Risk
35
Overvaluation
58
asking +62% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
inventory -1% inventory trend slope
sell-through 58% sell through rate
asking trend +0.1%/mo median asking trend slope
-4% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings22
Median fair value$15,983
Avg deal score68/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) Z28 535333

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.