Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) SS
The market for the Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) SS shows a slight upward trend over the next 6 to 24 months, with probabilities ranging from 0.5 to 0.52, signaling a volatile regime. This is alongside a depreciation risk of 57.8, an overvaluation score of 60.06, and liquidity at 40.8, with the strongest leading indicator identified as the High-Yield Bond Spread, showing a 0.76 correlation and a 19-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 26 yr, 27k mi example, ~$23.0K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 55% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 105 scored forecasts: 55% got the direction right, median value error ±23%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 10 in 10
We replayed 60 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±17%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 10 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-30 | 1997 · 3k mi | $16.1K–$50.8K | $38.5K | ✓ |
| 2022-09-24 | 2002 · 11k mi | $12.8K–$40.5K | $29.1K | ✓ |
| 2022-09-21 | 1997 · 50k mi | $9.3K–$29.4K | $15.5K | ✓ |
| 2022-09-20 | 2000 · 15k mi | $12.5K–$39.5K | $35.0K | ✓ |
| 2022-09-16 | 2000 · 36k mi | $10.4K–$32.9K | $22.0K | ✓ |
| 2022-09-14 | 2001 · 36k mi | $10.4K–$32.9K | $19.5K | ✓ |
| 2022-09-08 | 2002 · 4k mi | $14.3K–$45.2K | $33.0K | ✓ |
| 2022-09-07 | 2002 · 25k mi | $11.6K–$36.6K | $35.0K | ✓ |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 62% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 55% |
| 24 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 47% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 11 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 7 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 73% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) and Ethereum (USD), though M2 Money Supply points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 19 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002) Z28 | 50 | 50 | 22 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,010 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-7,800 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,010 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-2,500 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.