Jeep SJ Wagoneer Grand Wagoneer
Flagged undervalued because asking -21% vs historic sold, inventory -0%, and sell-through 96%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 36 yr, 110k mi example, ~$24.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 51% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 110 scored forecasts: 51% got the direction right, median value error ±33%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 408 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±32%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 1990 · 129k mi | $13.3K–$38.8K | $26.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-26 | 1984 · 61k mi | $18.2K–$53.0K | $30.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | 1987 · 101k mi | $16.0K–$46.6K | $24.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-24 | 1991 · 94k mi | $16.5K–$47.9K | $36.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-21 | 1991 · 93k mi | $16.5K–$48.1K | $32.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | 1991 · 109k mi | $15.3K–$44.4K | $13.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-15 | 1985 · 77k mi | $17.3K–$50.4K | $52.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-10 | 1989 · 95k mi | $16.4K–$47.8K | $8.5K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1989 · 83k mi | ebay | $13.9K–$54.2K ($27.4K) |
| open | 1989 · 83k mi | ebay | $13.9K–$54.2K ($27.4K) |
| open | 1987 | BaT | $12.5K–$48.6K ($24.6K) |
| open | 1991 · 82k mi | ebay | $13.9K–$54.3K ($27.5K) |
| open | 1984 · 149k mi | ebay | $10.3K–$40.0K ($20.2K) |
| open | 1989 · 155k mi | ebay | $10.0K–$39.2K ($19.8K) |
| open | 1990 · 87k mi | ebay | $13.8K–$53.2K ($27.1K) |
| open | 1988 · 124k mi | BaT | $11.6K–$44.6K ($22.7K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 59% |
| 12 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 51% |
| 24 mo | UP | 54% | Low | 56% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 54% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Housing Starts and M2 Money Supply, though Ethereum (USD) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-05 → today (14.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.75). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-15,005 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,913 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-40,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,913 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,913 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-43,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.