Buick Grand National/GNX GNX

GNX CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$46.4K ▼ $114K (−71.0%)12 mo
COOLINGPriced above trend · momentum cooling — but volatile.
Auction-supported · 9 sold + 7 active (auction-led)
Fair value$46.4K ($15.8K–$52.0K)
Typical ask$180K
Recent sold$157K
Current valueModerate
12-mo trendSlightly down · 4-in-10 up · 72% calls right
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($157k), not asking prices ($180k).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$15.8Ksells fast
Fair$157Krecent comps
List$168Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$212Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $15.8K · Fair $15.8K–$52.0K · careful above $240K

Showing appreciation momentum: +97% vs 12-mo avg.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 37 yr, 15k mi example, ~$46.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2010-01 2026-09 $292K $15.8K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 136 confirmed sales (136 auction)·178 sales tracked·201 months tracked·since 2010-01·32 active listings

Did our model work? 72% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 39 scored forecasts: 72% got the direction right, median value error ±36%.

2008-03 2026-09 $403K $18.2K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10

We replayed 40 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±14%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2025-08-16 1987 · 28k mi $81.5K–$263K $157K
2025-08-07 1987 · 3k mi $97.7K–$315K $205K
2025-05-29 1987 · 55k mi $63.9K–$206K $140K
2025-05-12 1987 · 2k mi $93.9K–$303K $230K
2025-01-30 1987 · 82k mi $54.5K–$176K $102K
2024-10-23 1987 · 19k mi $71.8K–$231K $133K
2024-09-07 1987 · 13k mi $76.6K–$247K $130K
2024-07-27 1987 · 15k mi $81.2K–$262K $100K

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 1 open auction in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1987 · 0k mi classic $79.7K–$369K ($171K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2010-01 now +24mo $406K $375
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 55% Low 62%
12 mo DOWN 57% Low 72%
24 mo DOWN 59% Low 85%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. Gold (futures) has historically led it by about 22 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$44.2K now +22mo 2010-01 $187K $43.7K
BECAUSE gold rose 68%. THEREFORE, given its usual 22-month head start, we lean DOWN — about −5% (≈ −$2,202) over the next 22 months. Confidence: High (correlation +0.83, 41 months overlap).

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 75% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Gold (futures) and Effective Fed Funds Rate, though Case-Shiller Home Price points the other way.

⚠ The price trend and leading indicators disagree — momentum may be running ahead of the fundamentals.
now +12mo (indicators) $187K $36.7K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

Gold (futures)+1.4Effective Fed Funds +0.8Case-Shiller Home P-1.0Initial Jobless Clai+0.5M2 Money Supply+1.7WTI Crude Oil+0.9Core CPI (ex food/en+1.9Personal Savings Rat+1.1 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2010

$100K invested 2010-01 → today (16.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$60.2K$964K$408K$1035K$232K 2010 2026 1672 100
━ This car $60.2K━ S&P 500 $964K━ Gold $408K━ Luxury $1035K━ Housing $232K
Lost ground to inflation. The Buick Grand National/GNX GNX roughly 0.6×'d your money (a real 61% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 94% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-74%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Trade-Weighted Dollar Index leads by about 6 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.87). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Buick Grand National/GNX GNX ┄ Trade-Weighted Dollar Index, shifted +6mo
2010-01 2026-09

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
65
Undervaluation
11
Speculation Opportunity
26
Depreciation Risk
66
Overvaluation
91
+116% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
+90% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
inventory +1% inventory trend slope
+97% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
asking trend -0.0%/mo median asking trend slope

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings32
Median fair value$141,315
Avg deal score69/100

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.