We don't yet have enough sold history for this market to model a reliable index, valuation, or forecast. Check back as sales accrue.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 3 yr, 16k mi example, ~$74.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
◫ 69 confirmed auction sales·46 months tracked·since 2022-12·126 active listings
If You’d Bought in 2022
$100K invested 2022-12 → today (3.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $105K━ S&P 500 $211K━ Gold $238K━ Luxury $74.5K━ Housing $114K₿ Bitcoin $458K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The BMW M4 (G82/G83) Competition roughly 1.0×'d your money (a real 6% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 50% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-8%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
62
Undervaluation
55
Liquidity
57
Speculation Opportunity
57
Depreciation Risk
37
Overvaluation
42
sell-through 99%sell through rate
asking +2% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$16,010 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.