BMW M3 (G80) M3 CS

G80 M3 CS CARSTOCKSPECIALTY

$102K ▲ $2.2K (+2.2%)12 mo

BUILDINGStill gathering enough sold history to call this market.

Insufficient comps · 3 sold comps

Fair value$102K ($89.9K–$115K)

Typical ask$123K

Recent sold$106K

Current valueInsufficient

12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up

Buyer: Too few confirmed sales to anchor a fair price — treat the number as a rough guide.

Seller: Thin sold history here; comparable sales are limited — price conservatively.

Watcher: Not enough confirmed sales yet — worth a watch as data accrues.

Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 1 yr, 6k mi example, ~$102K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)

◫ 3 confirmed auction sales·13 months tracked·since 2025-09·34 active listings

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

Horizon	Direction	Probability	Confidence	Past accuracy
6 mo	DOWN	54%	Low	—
12 mo	UP	47%	Low	—
24 mo	UP	47%	Low	—

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2025

$100K invested 2025-09 → today (1.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

━ This car $102K━ S&P 500 $117K━ Gold $114K━ Luxury $81.4K━ Housing $102K₿ Bitcoin $68.1K (off-scale)

Roughly tracked inflation — flat in real terms. The BMW M3 (G80) M3 CS roughly 1.0×'d your money (a real 1% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 13% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-1%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)

Economic Drivers

We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum

Undervaluation

Liquidity

Speculation Opportunity

Depreciation Risk

Overvaluation

asking +60% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread

sell-through 100% sell through rate

inventory +0% inventory trend slope

sale prices +0.6%/mo median sale trend slope

3% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

62 days on market median days on market

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings34

Median fair value$82,233

Avg deal score60/100

Comparable Markets

Market	Undervaluation	Appreciation	Liquidity
BMW M3 (G80) Competition	55	63	61

Recent Signals & Alerts

undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.2)
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-19,299 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed