We don't yet have enough sold history for this market to model a reliable index, valuation, or forecast. Check back as sales accrue.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 10 yr, 59k mi example, ~$36.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
◫ 63 confirmed auction sales·61 months tracked·since 2021-09·7 active listings
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-09 → today (5.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $58.4K━ S&P 500 $193K━ Gold $246K━ Luxury $79.0K━ Housing $124K₿ Bitcoin $173K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The BMW M5 (F10) Competition roughly 0.6×'d your money (a real 52% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 70% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-53%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
52
Undervaluation
51
Liquidity
45
Speculation Opportunity
51
Depreciation Risk
63
Overvaluation
56
asking +4% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
sell-through 85%sell through rate
new-listing velocity 11% of activenew listing velocity
74 days on marketmedian days on market
29% of listings cutting priceprice drop frequency
Current Inventory Snapshot
Active priced listings7
Median fair value$22,887
Avg deal score63/100
Recent Signals & Alerts
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-7,500 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,858 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.