Flagged undervalued because inventory -0%, and +6% vs 2-yr avg.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 6k mi example, ~$113K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2026 · 3k mi
ebay
$72.1K–$257K ($136K)
open
2024 · 23k mi
classic
$65.2K–$236K ($124K)
open
2023 · 44k mi
classic
$56.6K–$205K ($108K)
open
2026 · 2k mi
classic
$73.0K–$264K ($139K)
open
2023 · 48k mi
classic
$55.7K–$202K ($106K)
open
2023 · 35k mi
classic
$60.1K–$216K ($114K)
open
2026 · 0k mi
classic
$76.6K–$275K ($145K)
open
2023 · 58k mi
classic
$53.7K–$193K ($102K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
44%
Low
0%
12 mo
DOWN
54%
Low
—
24 mo
DOWN
51%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2023
$100K invested 2023-01 → today (3.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $79.7K━ S&P 500 $201K━ Gold $226K━ Luxury $63.1K━ Housing $115K₿ Bitcoin $336K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Cadillac Escalade (2021+) V roughly 0.8×'d your money (a real 28% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 60% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-31%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Effective Fed Funds Rate leads by about 14 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.
10Y-2Y Yield Spread leads by about 18 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment leads by about 10 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 10 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Unemployment Rate leads by about 22 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.80). Shown shifted forward 22 months so its turns line up with the market's.
2-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 18 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.78). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 20 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.77). Shown shifted forward 20 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Personal Savings Rate leads by about 7 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Cadillac Escalade (2021+) V┄ Personal Savings Rate, shifted +7mo
M2 Money Supply leads by about 13 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 13 months so its turns line up with the market's.
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.