Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 5k mi example, ~$112K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2026 · 0k mi
classic
$75.8K–$272K ($144K)
open
2025 · 23k mi
classic
$64.2K–$230K ($122K)
open
2026 · 4k mi
classic
$71.4K–$256K ($135K)
open
2026 · 9k mi
classic
$66.5K–$239K ($126K)
open
2024 · 19k mi
classic
$64.6K–$232K ($122K)
open
2026 · 0k mi
classic
$77.2K–$277K ($146K)
open
2026 · 4k mi
classic
$72.7K–$261K ($138K)
open
2026 · 2k mi
classic
$73.9K–$265K ($140K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
FLAT
50%
Low
50%
12 mo
FLAT
50%
Low
—
24 mo
FLAT
50%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. WTI Crude Oil has historically led it by about 8 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE oil prices rose 16%. THEREFORE, given its usual 8-month head start, we lean DOWN — about −4% (≈ −$4,407) over the next 8 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.66, 20 months overlap).
If You’d Bought in 2023
$100K invested 2023-01 → today (3.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $76.0K━ S&P 500 $195K━ Gold $213K━ Luxury $71.4K━ Housing $113K₿ Bitcoin $256K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Cadillac Escalade (2021+) V roughly 0.8×'d your money (a real 32% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 61% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-33%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Unemployment Rate leads by about 24 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Effective Fed Funds Rate leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.68). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 20 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.66). Shown shifted forward 20 months so its turns line up with the market's.
WTI Crude Oil leads by about 8 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.66). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
M2 Money Supply leads by about 14 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.65). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.
10Y-2Y Yield Spread leads by about 16 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.65). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Housing Starts leads by about 8 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.62). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment leads by about 6 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$34,837 vs prior
price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-22.2)
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$27,799 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=13.3)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.