Land Rover Defender (L663, 2022-2025) Octa

DEFENDER L663 V8 OCTA CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$139K 12 mo
BUILDINGStill gathering enough sold history to call this market.
Insufficient comps · 0 sold comps
Fair value$139K ($122K–$156K)
Typical ask$139K
Recent sold—
Current valueInsufficient
12-mo trendNot yet callable
Buyer: Too few confirmed sales to anchor a fair price — treat the number as a rough guide.
Seller: Thin sold history here; comparable sales are limited — price conservatively.
Watcher: Not enough confirmed sales yet — worth a watch as data accrues.

Given the thin data state, this market read for the Land Rover Defender (L663, 2022-2025) Octa is low-confidence. Current signals indicate a high depreciation risk of 93.1 and an overvaluation score of 71.78, with appreciation momentum at 5.64, and liquidity at 31.24.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 12 yr, 50k mi example, ~$139K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2026-05 2026-10 $150K $131K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 6 months tracked·since 2026-05·13 active listings

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2026-05 now +24mo $183K $38.5K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 54% Low —
12 mo DOWN 53% Low —
24 mo DOWN 53% Low —

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Economic Drivers

We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
26
Undervaluation
14
Liquidity
33
Speculation Opportunity
19
Depreciation Risk
73
Overvaluation
74
asking +100% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
sell-through 10% sell through rate
inventory +1% inventory trend slope
sale prices -0.4%/mo median sale trend slope
27% of listings cutting price price drop frequency
new-listing velocity 4% of active new listing velocity

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings13
Median fair value$77,178
Avg deal score65/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Land Rover Defender (L663, 2022-2025) V8 272131

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.