Chevrolet Corvette C5 Convertible
Flagged undervalued because -28% vs 2-yr avg, inventory -0%, and -28% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 23 yr, 35k mi example, ~$21.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 43% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 117 scored forecasts: 43% got the direction right, median value error ±31%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 74 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±15%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-23 | 2003 · 21k mi | $16.1K–$35.6K | $29.7K | ✓ |
| 2025-07-19 | 2003 · 18k mi | $16.7K–$36.9K | $30.5K | ✓ |
| 2025-07-09 | 1999 · 82k mi | $10.3K–$22.8K | $11.0K | ✓ |
| 2025-07-08 | 1998 · 82k mi | $10.3K–$22.7K | $18.3K | ✓ |
| 2025-07-05 | 1999 · 17k mi | $16.9K–$37.4K | $17.0K | ✓ |
| 2025-06-24 | 1999 · 38k mi | $13.9K–$30.8K | $13.8K | ✗ |
| 2025-06-19 | 2001 · 64k mi | $12.1K–$26.9K | $17.0K | ✓ |
| 2025-06-17 | 2004 · 77k mi | $10.6K–$23.5K | $16.3K | ✓ |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 54% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 43% |
| 24 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 37% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 78% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Ethereum (USD) and Case-Shiller Home Price, though Unemployment Rate points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Bitcoin (USD) leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.67). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Corvette C5 Z06 | 41 | 48 | 46 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,183 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,745 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,995 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,745 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.