Dodge Challenger SRT Demon

CHALLENGER SRT DEMON CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$121K ▼ $19.2K (−13.7%)12 mo
WATCHMixed signals — but volatile.
Fair value$121K ($107K–$136K)
Typical ask$130K
Recent sold$137K
12-mo outlookRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
ConfidenceHigh
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($137k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($137k); expect negotiation.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend before acting.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$107Ksells fast
Fair$137Krecent comps
List$147Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$159Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $107K · Fair $107K–$136K · careful above $155K

Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 7 yr, 0k mi example, ~$121K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2025-04 2026-06 $150K $59.7K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 32 confirmed sales·15 months tracked·since 2025-04·446 active listings

Auction Scorecard live

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 2018 · 3k mi classic $59.9K–$254K ($123K)
open 2018 · 0k mi classic $66.4K–$281K ($137K)
open 2018 · 0k mi ebay $64.5K–$273K ($133K)
open 2018 · 35k mi classic $53.7K–$227K ($110K)
open 2023 · 0k mi classic $66.4K–$281K ($137K)
open 2023 · 0k mi classic $66.4K–$281K ($137K)
open 2018 · 0k mi classic $66.4K–$281K ($137K)
open 2023 · 2k mi classic $61.6K–$261K ($127K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2025-04 now +24mo $252K $58.5K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 55% Low
12 mo FLAT 50% Low
24 mo DOWN 54% Low

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. Advance Retail Sales has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$122K now +5mo 2025-04 $142K $120K
BECAUSE Advance Retail Sales rose 3%. THEREFORE, given its usual 5-month head start, we lean UP — about +1% (≈ +$816) over the next 5 months. Confidence: High (correlation +0.71, 49 months overlap).

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 73% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Advance Retail Sales and 30-Year Mortgage Rate, though Advance Retail Sales points the other way.

now +12mo (indicators) $143K $114K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

Advance Retail Sales-0.230-Year Mortgage Rat+0.9Nasdaq Composite+1.2Bitcoin (USD)+1.7Core CPI (ex food/en+1.7Unemployment Rate+0.1Personal Savings Rat+0.5Consumer Discretiona+1.3 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2025

$100K invested 2025-04 → today (1.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$86.4K$140K$136K$104K$100K 2025 2026 158 100
━ This car $86.4K━ S&P 500 $140K━ Gold $136K━ Luxury $104K━ Housing $100K₿ Bitcoin $71.2K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Dodge Challenger SRT Demon roughly 0.9×'d your money (a real 17% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 38% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-14%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Advance Retail Sales leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.71). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Dodge Challenger SRT Demon ┄ Advance Retail Sales, shifted +5mo
2025-04 2026-06

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
54
Undervaluation
51
Liquidity
43
Speculation Opportunity
53
Depreciation Risk
50
Overvaluation
57
sell-through 100% sell through rate
+0% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
-4% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
-0% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices +0.1%/mo median sale trend slope
81 days on market median days on market
28% relisted listing reappearance rate

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings446
Median fair value$72,076
Avg deal score50/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Dodge Challenger (2008-2023) R/T 392 582247
Dodge Challenger (2008-2023) Demon 404535
Dodge Challenger (2008-2023) Hellcat 444039
Dodge Challenger (2008-2023) Hellcat Redeye 414241
Dodge Challenger (2008-2023) R/T 486045
Dodge Challenger (2008-2023) Scat Pack 563543
Dodge Challenger (2008-2023) SRT 392 524956
Dodge Challenger (2008-2023) Widebody 445344

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.