Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 2k mi example, ~$191K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 96 confirmed auction sales·39 months tracked·since 2023-08·17 active listings
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Forecast pendingWe need ~12 months of history to model where this market is headed.
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2023
$100K invested 2023-08 → today (3.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $87.6K━ S&P 500 $181K━ Gold $212K━ Luxury $57.6K━ Housing $108K₿ Bitcoin $315K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 RS roughly 0.9×'d your money (a real 20% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 52% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-19%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
45
Undervaluation
37
Liquidity
40
Speculation Opportunity
38
Depreciation Risk
50
Overvaluation
58
asking +44% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
sell-through 39%sell through rate
+7% vs 2-yr avgpct vs trailing 24mo
+7% vs 12-mo avgpct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices +0.4%/momedian sale trend slope
0% of listings cutting priceprice drop frequency
new-listing velocity 2% of activenew listing velocity
Current Inventory Snapshot
Active priced listings17
Median fair value$162,876
Avg deal score45/100
Recent Signals & Alerts
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-72,730 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$36,993 vs prior
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-72,730 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$36,993 vs prior
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-107,979 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$36,993 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.