Showing appreciation momentum: sale prices +3.3%/mo, and +7% vs 12-mo avg.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 34 yr, 33k mi example, ~$383K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 6 confirmed sales·11 months tracked·since 2025-08·26 active listings
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 7 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
1993 · 55k mi
classic
$200K–$641K ($358K)
open
1994 · 30k mi
classic
$219K–$704K ($393K)
open
1994 · 22k mi
classic
$224K–$718K ($401K)
open
1994 · 24k mi
classic
$223K–$714K ($399K)
open
1993
classic
$214K–$687K ($383K)
open
1991 · 96k mi
classic
$161K–$517K ($289K)
open
1992 · 146k mi
classic
$140K–$450K ($251K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
53%
Low
—
12 mo
UP
56%
Low
—
24 mo
UP
59%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 20% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by US Metro Mean Temperature and LVMH (luxury proxy ADR), though US Metro Mean Temperature points the other way.
Trend and leading indicators agree — both point up. Higher-conviction read.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-05 → today (5.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $107K━ S&P 500 $198K━ Gold $240K━ Luxury $82.1K━ Housing $129K₿ Bitcoin $185K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Porsche 911 Turbo (964) roughly 1.1×'d your money (a real 14% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 46% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-17%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 13 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 13 months so its turns line up with the market's.
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 16 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.82). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Gold (futures) leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.82). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 9 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 18 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 911 Turbo (964)┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +18mo
PCE Price Index leads by about 14 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.80). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 911 Turbo (964)┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +0mo
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 13 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.80). Shown shifted forward 13 months so its turns line up with the market's.
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$509,900 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$509,900 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$63,010 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$63,010 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.