Tracking 1 sale in the last 90 days. We'll publish a confident 12-month outlook once 4 more sales close — at this market's typical pace, that's roughly ~3 months.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 39 yr, 82k mi example, ~$21.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 62 scored forecasts: 55% got the direction right, median value error ±42%.
Track record buildingNot enough graded forecasts yet to show accuracy.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 325 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±24%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
Sold
Car
Our range
Hammer
2026-09-13
1988 · 41k mi
$19.5K–$71.5K
$59.5K
✓
2026-08-29
1986
$10.3K–$54.6K
$16.0K
✓
2026-08-21
1986 · 66k mi
$12.9K–$47.4K
$28.0K
✓
2026-08-14
1986 · 126k mi
$9.4K–$34.5K
$15.5K
✓
2026-08-07
1987 · 124k mi
$9.4K–$34.6K
$17.5K
✓
2026-08-06
1986 · 21k mi
$22.1K–$81.0K
$30.3K
✓
2026-08-03
1986 · 51k mi
$15.9K–$58.5K
$49.0K
✓
2026-07-30
1986 · 78k mi
$11.6K–$42.6K
$20.0K
✓
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 3 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
1986 · 120k mi
ebay
$7.9K–$43.0K ($18.4K)
open
1986 · 106k mi
classic
$8.7K–$46.0K ($20.0K)
open
1986 · 95k mi
classic
$10.3K–$54.6K ($23.7K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-05 → today (14.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $27.3K━ S&P 500 $741K━ Gold $280K━ Luxury $614K━ Housing $239K
Lost ground to inflation. The Porsche 944/951 Turbo roughly 0.3×'d your money (a real 81% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 96% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-89%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 23 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.68). Shown shifted forward 23 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 944/951 Turbo┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +23mo
Trade-Weighted Dollar Index leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.66). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 944/951 Turbo┄ Trade-Weighted Dollar Index, shifted +7mo
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 17 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.65). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 944/951 Turbo┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +17mo
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 21 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.64). Shown shifted forward 21 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 16 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
M2 Money Supply leads by about 24 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.60). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.60). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 944/951 Turbo┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +0mo
PCE Price Index leads by about 16 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.60). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
asking +50% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
sell-through 98%sell through rate
inventory -0%inventory trend slope
asking trend +0.3%/momedian asking trend slope
128 days on marketmedian days on market
20% of listings cutting priceprice drop frequency
Current Inventory Snapshot
Active priced listings309
Median fair value$19,525
Avg deal score54/100
Recent Signals & Alerts
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-40,893 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$18,150 vs prior
price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.6)
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-40,893 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$18,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$18,150 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
