What a Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Is Actually Worth
True Value$14,800
Fair Range$10,700 - $16,500
Median Recent Sold$21,000
VerdictUNDERVALUED
As of October 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) is actually worth $14,800 (fair range $10,700 to $16,500). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 120 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $10,000 — about 32% below what these cars have actually been selling for. Asks sitting below recent sold values can signal softening demand or motivated sellers.
As of October 2026, the Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $7,100, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $4,950 and $9,500. Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) prices have decreased 35.3% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $17,000 to $11,000.
The typical Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) on the market has 200,000 miles. Listings spend an average of 114 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Pricing
A fair price for a Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) in October 2026 is between $4,950 and $9,500 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $3,500 to $10,800 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$3,500
Budget / project cars
25th
$4,950
Below average price
Median (50th)
$7,100
Typical market price
75th
$9,500
Above average / premium
90th
$10,800
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $7,131, which is higher than the median, indicating that high-priced outliers (rare specifications, very low mileage, or concours-quality examples) pull the average up.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
18
$6,000
10,000 - 25,000 mi
12
$5,000
25,000 - 50,000 mi
12
$8,900
50,000 - 100,000 mi
60
$7,893
100,000 - 150,000 mi
142
$8,000
Over 150,000 mi
719
$7,000
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Price Trends
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) prices have decreased 35.3% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $11,000 across 6 sales, down from $17,000 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) prices are down 47.4% ($11,000 vs. $20,900 a year ago).
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2024-Q4
44
$22,850
$25,366
2025-Q1
42
$22,500
$24,935
2025-Q2
73
$22,000
$22,281
2025-Q3
47
$20,900
$20,852
2025-Q4
34
$25,300
$25,151
2026-Q1
14
$27,500
$25,053
2026-Q2
3
$17,000
$20,150
2026-Q3
6
$11,000
$13,885
Best Value Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) by Model Year
The 2001 Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) offers the best value with a median price of $6,420 across 61 listings. The most expensive model year is 2004 at a median of $8,500.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
1999
175
$6,500
$2,500
$11,995
2000
87
$7,199
$2,000
$11,073
2001
61
$6,420
$2,500
$11,951
2002
51
$6,880
$2,500
$11,900
2003
119
$7,000
$2,500
$11,980
2004
125
$8,500
$2,500
$11,994
2005
100
$7,995
$2,500
$11,990
2006
118
$7,897
$2,500
$11,990
2007
163
$6,900
$2,500
$11,932
How Mileage Affects Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 90,000 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
1,691 mi
1.51x
$22,412
6,346 mi
1.18x
$17,492
10,885 mi
1.27x
$18,746
22,752 mi
1.25x
$18,481
38,591 mi
1.24x
$18,382
64,255 mi
1.12x
$16,578
97,852 mi
0.96x
$14,277
147,883 mi
0.88x
$13,092
246,430 mi
0.63x
$9,264
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 1,691 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.51x the reference value. At the other end, 246,430-mile examples trade at about 0.63x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↑ UP
47%
volatile
74% over 54 tests
12 months
↓ DOWN
53%
volatile
54% over 48 tests
24 months
↓ DOWN
53%
volatile
56% over 36 tests
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Ford Super Duty (1999-2007)
The highest concentration of Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) listings is in TX with 122 active listings, followed by CA (116), WA (82), FL (81), GA (68).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in NY at $4,500, while OR has the highest at $9,995. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $5,495.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
TX
122
$6,800
CA
116
$8,800
WA
82
$7,999
FL
81
$6,000
GA
68
$7,000
CO
52
$7,977
AZ
49
$7,500
IL
48
$6,800
MI
43
$5,500
MA
34
$5,000
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Market Velocity
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) listings spend an average of 114 days on market. This is a slow-moving market. Listings tend to sit for extended periods, giving buyers significant negotiating power. Sellers should be realistic on pricing and patient.
The median time on market is 55 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $4,950 to $9,500. The median is $7,100. Anything below $4,950 is a strong value; above $9,500 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Trending down: Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) prices have dropped 35.3% recently. Patient buyers may benefit from waiting, but desirable examples still sell quickly.
Best value year: The 2001 model year has the lowest median price at $6,420, making it the most accessible entry point into Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) ownership.
Negotiate: With an average of 114 days on market, sellers are often willing to negotiate. Listings over 60 days old are especially open to offers.