What a Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Is Actually Worth
True Value$17,200
Fair Range$15,100 - $19,200
Median Recent Sold$21,400
VerdictUNDERVALUED
As of August 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) is actually worth $17,200 (fair range $15,100 to $19,200). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 134 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $10,000 — about 42% below what these cars have actually been selling for. Asks sitting below recent sold values can signal softening demand or motivated sellers.
As of August 2026, the Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $5,800, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $4,100 and $7,500. Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) prices have decreased 35.3% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $17,000 to $11,000.
The typical Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) on the market has 199,000 miles. Listings spend an average of 119 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Pricing
A fair price for a Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) in August 2026 is between $4,100 and $7,500 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $3,000 to $8,500 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$3,000
Budget / project cars
25th
$4,100
Below average price
Median (50th)
$5,800
Typical market price
75th
$7,500
Above average / premium
90th
$8,500
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $5,833, which is higher than the median, indicating that high-priced outliers (rare specifications, very low mileage, or concours-quality examples) pull the average up.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
16
$5,300
10,000 - 25,000 mi
16
$4,900
25,000 - 50,000 mi
10
$6,500
50,000 - 100,000 mi
62
$6,000
100,000 - 150,000 mi
138
$6,500
Over 150,000 mi
720
$5,700
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Price Trends
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) prices have decreased 35.3% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $11,000 across 1 sales, down from $17,000 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) prices are down 47.4% ($11,000 vs. $20,900 a year ago).
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2024-Q4
44
$22,850
$25,366
2025-Q1
42
$22,500
$24,935
2025-Q2
73
$22,000
$22,281
2025-Q3
47
$20,900
$20,852
2025-Q4
34
$25,300
$25,151
2026-Q1
14
$27,500
$25,053
2026-Q2
3
$17,000
$20,150
2026-Q3
1
$11,000
$11,000
Best Value Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) by Model Year
The 1999 Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) offers the best value with a median price of $5,200 across 194 listings. The most expensive model year is 2006 at a median of $6,500.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
1999
194
$5,200
$2,100
$9,300
2000
69
$6,500
$2,500
$9,200
2001
64
$5,971
$2,500
$9,490
2002
57
$5,400
$2,500
$9,000
2003
99
$5,500
$2,500
$9,477
2004
110
$5,900
$2,500
$9,444
2005
89
$6,300
$2,500
$9,351
2006
141
$6,500
$2,500
$9,398
2007
177
$5,888
$2,500
$9,450
How Mileage Affects Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 89,000 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
1,691 mi
1.58x
$27,104
6,346 mi
1.20x
$20,616
10,885 mi
1.25x
$21,443
22,752 mi
1.24x
$21,408
38,707 mi
1.24x
$21,369
64,074 mi
1.12x
$19,238
97,357 mi
0.97x
$16,599
147,383 mi
0.88x
$15,195
250,790 mi
0.60x
$10,399
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 1,691 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.58x the reference value. At the other end, 250,790-mile examples trade at about 0.60x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↑ UP
47%
volatile
72% over 53 tests
12 months
↑ UP
47%
volatile
51% over 47 tests
24 months
→ FLAT
50%
volatile
54% over 35 tests
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Ford Super Duty (1999-2007)
The highest concentration of Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) listings is in TX with 152 active listings, followed by CA (99), WA (77), CO (73), FL (73).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in MI at $5,500, while OR has the highest at $15,850. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $10,350.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
TX
152
$8,000
CA
99
$10,977
WA
77
$11,000
CO
73
$10,000
FL
73
$8,500
GA
69
$10,000
AZ
61
$9,000
MI
41
$5,500
IL
33
$7,800
NJ
30
$6,500
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Market Velocity
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) listings spend an average of 119 days on market. This is a slow-moving market. Listings tend to sit for extended periods, giving buyers significant negotiating power. Sellers should be realistic on pricing and patient.
The median time on market is 49 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $4,100 to $7,500. The median is $5,800. Anything below $4,100 is a strong value; above $7,500 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Trending down: Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) prices have dropped 35.3% recently. Patient buyers may benefit from waiting, but desirable examples still sell quickly.
Best value year: The 1999 model year has the lowest median price at $5,200, making it the most accessible entry point into Ford Super Duty (1999-2007) ownership.
Negotiate: With an average of 119 days on market, sellers are often willing to negotiate. Listings over 60 days old are especially open to offers.