What a Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) Is Actually Worth
True Value$49,500
Fair Range$43,600 - $55,500
Median Recent Sold$72,000
VerdictWATCH
As of August 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) is actually worth $49,500 (fair range $43,600 to $55,500). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 94 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $38,800 — about 22% below what these cars have actually been selling for. Asks sitting below recent sold values can signal softening demand or motivated sellers.
As of August 2026, the Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $17,800, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $7,999 and $19,980. Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) prices have decreased 15.2% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $76,676 to $64,991.
The typical Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) on the market has 111,000 miles. Listings spend an average of 3 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) Pricing
A fair price for a Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) in August 2026 is between $7,999 and $19,980 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $3,500 to $20,999 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$3,500
Budget / project cars
25th
$7,999
Below average price
Median (50th)
$17,800
Typical market price
75th
$19,980
Above average / premium
90th
$20,999
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $14,785, which is lower than the median, suggesting pricing is relatively symmetrical across the market.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
18
$5,000
10,000 - 25,000 mi
32
$4,500
25,000 - 50,000 mi
70
$5,000
50,000 - 100,000 mi
280
$16,000
100,000 - 150,000 mi
384
$18,999
Over 150,000 mi
188
$17,986
Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) Price Trends
Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) prices have decreased 15.2% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $64,991 across 186 sales, down from $76,676 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) prices are down 20.3% ($64,991 vs. $81,500 a year ago).
Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2025-Q1
79
$77,000
$88,868
2025-Q2
77
$79,900
$85,169
2025-Q3
94
$81,500
$83,768
2025-Q4
123
$76,990
$81,198
2026-Q1
145
$74,890
$83,749
2026-Q2
296
$76,676
$82,919
2026-Q3
186
$64,991
$68,347
Best Value Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) by Model Year
The 2024 Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) offers the best value with a median price of $4,500 across 56 listings. The most expensive model year is 2021 at a median of $18,500.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
2021
486
$18,500
$2,500
$21,990
2022
322
$17,795
$2,500
$21,991
2023
136
$15,889
$2,500
$21,991
2024
56
$4,500
$2,500
$19,999
How Mileage Affects Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 8,000 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
329 mi
1.45x
$71,657
4,600 mi
1.08x
$53,316
10,236 mi
1.02x
$50,260
21,267 mi
0.87x
$42,870
37,724 mi
0.87x
$42,821
58,807 mi
0.79x
$39,141
97,980 mi
0.94x
$46,632
154,919 mi
0.79x
$38,963
300,000 mi
0.65x
$32,322
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 329 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.45x the reference value. At the other end, 300,000-mile examples trade at about 0.65x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↑ UP
51%
volatile
47% over 36 tests
12 months
↓ DOWN
47%
volatile
60% over 30 tests
24 months
↓ DOWN
45%
volatile
56% over 18 tests
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024)
The highest concentration of Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) listings is in TX with 217 active listings, followed by FL (186), CA (98), AZ (64), GA (57).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in AZ at $4,500, while OK has the highest at $19,995. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $15,495.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
TX
217
$6,000
FL
186
$16,999
CA
98
$18,500
AZ
64
$4,500
GA
57
$15,999
NJ
32
$18,194
MI
29
$18,995
CO
27
$19,900
NC
24
$19,950
IL
23
$18,500
Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) Market Velocity
Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) listings spend an average of 3 days on market. This is a fast-moving market. Buyers should expect competitive pricing and be prepared to act quickly on well-priced examples. Sellers can generally expect strong demand.
The median time on market is 3 days.
Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $7,999 to $19,980. The median is $17,800. Anything below $7,999 is a strong value; above $19,980 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Trending down: Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) prices have dropped 15.2% recently. Patient buyers may benefit from waiting, but desirable examples still sell quickly.
Best value year: The 2024 model year has the lowest median price at $4,500, making it the most accessible entry point into Ford F-150 (14th Gen, 2021-2024) ownership.
Act fast: With an average of 3 days on market, good examples sell quickly. Have financing arranged and be ready to move on a listing within days.