As of September 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical BMW M4 (G82/G83) Competition is actually worth $66,700 (fair range $58,700 to $74,700). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 85 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $72,600 — about 9% above what these cars have actually been selling for. That gap favors patient buyers: negotiate from the sold data, not the ask.
As of September 2026, the BMW M4 (G82/G83) Competition market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $66,995, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $62,590 and $69,699. Competition prices have increased 1.2% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $73,113 to $74,000.
The typical Competition on the market has 33,151 miles. Listings spend an average of 26 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Competition Pricing
A fair price for a BMW M4 (G82/G83) Competition in September 2026 is between $62,590 and $69,699 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $55,362 to $70,899 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$55,362
Budget / project cars
25th
$62,590
Below average price
Median (50th)
$66,995
Typical market price
75th
$69,699
Above average / premium
90th
$70,899
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $62,750, which is lower than the median, suggesting pricing is relatively symmetrical across the market.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
37
$69,373
10,000 - 25,000 mi
253
$68,990
25,000 - 50,000 mi
465
$66,991
50,000 - 100,000 mi
215
$61,194
100,000 - 150,000 mi
7
$43,778
Competition Price Trends
BMW M4 (G82/G83) Competition prices have increased 1.2% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $74,000 across 54 sales, up from $73,113 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Competition prices are down 5.6% ($74,000 vs. $78,400 a year ago).
Competition Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2024-Q4
22
$79,800
$85,306
2025-Q1
27
$72,990
$77,253
2025-Q2
28
$72,390
$77,947
2025-Q3
57
$78,400
$81,072
2025-Q4
87
$76,405
$95,420
2026-Q1
74
$71,800
$72,594
2026-Q2
34
$73,113
$72,441
2026-Q3
54
$74,000
$74,612
Best Value Competition by Model Year
The 2021 Competition offers the best value with a median price of $63,795 across 285 listings. The most expensive model year is 2024 at a median of $68,997.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
2021
285
$63,795
$2,500
$71,995
2022
372
$66,998
$3,500
$71,999
2023
195
$68,565
$2,500
$71,999
2024
148
$68,997
$3,000
$71,999
How Mileage Affects Competition Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the BMW M4 (G82/G83) Competition from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 14,194 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
381 mi
1.46x
$97,333
4,582 mi
1.14x
$76,349
11,494 mi
1.03x
$68,702
20,992 mi
1.01x
$67,159
38,732 mi
0.93x
$62,152
52,233 mi
0.85x
$56,512
85,541 mi
0.74x
$49,035
154,919 mi
0.66x
$43,883
300,000 mi
0.58x
$38,719
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 381 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.46x the reference value. At the other end, 300,000-mile examples trade at about 0.58x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Competition Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↓ DOWN
53%
volatile
50% over 18 tests
12 months
↓ DOWN
53%
volatile
25% over 12 tests
24 months
↓ DOWN
53%
volatile
insufficient history
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the BMW M4 (G82/G83) Competition — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Competition
The highest concentration of BMW M4 (G82/G83) Competition listings is in FL with 200 active listings, followed by CA (124), TX (119), NJ (90), IL (76).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in VA at $68,877, while WA has the highest at $82,000. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $13,123.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
FL
200
$69,671
CA
124
$71,900
TX
119
$71,387
NJ
90
$70,490
IL
76
$69,878
GA
63
$73,800
NY
41
$74,211
AZ
29
$74,000
WA
28
$82,000
OH
24
$69,448
Competition Market Velocity
BMW M4 (G82/G83) Competition listings spend an average of 26 days on market. This represents moderate market velocity. Well-priced listings move quickly, but overpriced examples can sit. Buyers have time to be selective; sellers should price competitively.
The median time on market is 21 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Competition Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $62,590 to $69,699. The median is $66,995. Anything below $62,590 is a strong value; above $69,699 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Prices stable: Competition values have been relatively flat. There is no urgency to time the market.
Best value year: The 2021 model year has the lowest median price at $63,795, making it the most accessible entry point into Competition ownership.
Act fast: With an average of 26 days on market, good examples sell quickly. Have financing arranged and be ready to move on a listing within days.