As of October 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical BMW M5 (F10) Competition is actually worth $28,600 (fair range $25,100 to $32,000). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 75 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $26,900 — about 6% below what these cars have actually been selling for. Asks sitting below recent sold values can signal softening demand or motivated sellers.
As of October 2026, the BMW M5 (F10) Competition market has 474 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $26,887, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $21,900 and $32,887. Competition prices have decreased 14.5% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $29,236 to $24,995.
The typical Competition on the market has 83,532 miles. Listings spend an average of 103 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Competition Pricing
A fair price for a BMW M5 (F10) Competition in October 2026 is between $21,900 and $32,887 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $18,900 to $41,900 across 474 active listings.
Price Distribution (474 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$18,900
Budget / project cars
25th
$21,900
Below average price
Median (50th)
$26,887
Typical market price
75th
$32,887
Above average / premium
90th
$41,900
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $48,802, which is higher than the median, indicating that high-priced outliers (rare specifications, very low mileage, or concours-quality examples) pull the average up.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
12
$115,212
10,000 - 25,000 mi
4
$26,995
25,000 - 50,000 mi
42
$41,900
50,000 - 100,000 mi
273
$28,000
100,000 - 150,000 mi
123
$20,995
Over 150,000 mi
15
$12,357
Competition Price Trends
BMW M5 (F10) Competition prices have decreased 14.5% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q4, the median sale price was $24,995 across 10 sales, down from $29,236 in 2026-Q3.
On a year-over-year basis, Competition prices are down 9.5% ($24,995 vs. $27,608 a year ago).
Competition Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2025-Q1
17
$28,500
$30,112
2025-Q2
14
$38,000
$34,254
2025-Q3
23
$30,750
$35,429
2025-Q4
19
$27,608
$27,852
2026-Q1
22
$33,250
$34,404
2026-Q2
31
$28,995
$33,080
2026-Q3
47
$29,236
$34,388
2026-Q4
10
$24,995
$28,784
Best Value Competition by Model Year
The 2011 Competition offers the best value with a median price of $6,500 across 3 listings. The most expensive model year is 2016 at a median of $29,999.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
2011
3
$6,500
$6,000
$987,654
2012
4
$20,000
$7,000
$8,335,526
2013
236
$24,995
$6,000
$60,998
2014
93
$29,000
$6,200
$44,777
2015
77
$29,500
$19,950
$115,790
2016
61
$29,999
$10,900
$89,900
How Mileage Affects Competition Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the BMW M5 (F10) Competition from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 61,700 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
1,118 mi
1.45x
$41,535
4,330 mi
1.27x
$36,253
10,101 mi
1.30x
$37,107
21,841 mi
1.26x
$36,099
40,567 mi
1.13x
$32,382
63,383 mi
0.97x
$27,788
93,075 mi
0.73x
$20,952
141,719 mi
0.62x
$17,863
300,000 mi
0.58x
$16,651
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 1,118 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.45x the reference value. At the other end, 300,000-mile examples trade at about 0.58x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Competition Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↓ DOWN
50%
volatile
63% over 52 tests
12 months
↓ DOWN
49%
volatile
48% over 46 tests
24 months
↓ DOWN
47%
volatile
50% over 34 tests
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the BMW M5 (F10) Competition — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Competition
The highest concentration of BMW M5 (F10) Competition listings is in CA with 77 active listings, followed by IL (51), TX (50), FL (39), WA (35).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in VA at $20,966, while AR has the highest at $31,581. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $10,615.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
CA
77
$25,484
IL
51
$29,412
TX
50
$25,950
FL
39
$20,994
WA
35
$22,999
VA
17
$20,966
CT
15
$28,570
AZ
15
$27,191
PA
14
$31,404
NY
12
$28,000
Competition Market Velocity
BMW M5 (F10) Competition listings spend an average of 103 days on market. This is a slow-moving market. Listings tend to sit for extended periods, giving buyers significant negotiating power. Sellers should be realistic on pricing and patient.
The median time on market is 39 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Competition Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $21,900 to $32,887. The median is $26,887. Anything below $21,900 is a strong value; above $32,887 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Trending down: Competition prices have dropped 14.5% recently. Patient buyers may benefit from waiting, but desirable examples still sell quickly.
Best value year: The 2011 model year has the lowest median price at $6,500, making it the most accessible entry point into Competition ownership.
Negotiate: With an average of 103 days on market, sellers are often willing to negotiate. Listings over 60 days old are especially open to offers.