As of September 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical BMW M5 (F10) Competition is actually worth $29,300 (fair range $25,800 to $32,800). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 69 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $27,900 — about 5% below what these cars have actually been selling for.
As of September 2026, the BMW M5 (F10) Competition market has 441 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $27,595, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $21,990 and $34,694. Competition prices have been stable over the past two quarters, changing less than 1%.
The typical Competition on the market has 81,427 miles. Listings spend an average of 120 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Competition Pricing
A fair price for a BMW M5 (F10) Competition in September 2026 is between $21,990 and $34,694 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $17,900 to $48,500 across 441 active listings.
Price Distribution (441 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$17,900
Budget / project cars
25th
$21,990
Below average price
Median (50th)
$27,595
Typical market price
75th
$34,694
Above average / premium
90th
$48,500
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $30,715, which is higher than the median, indicating that high-priced outliers (rare specifications, very low mileage, or concours-quality examples) pull the average up.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
15
$114,912
10,000 - 25,000 mi
6
$44,995
25,000 - 50,000 mi
45
$49,912
50,000 - 100,000 mi
254
$28,883
100,000 - 150,000 mi
107
$20,289
Over 150,000 mi
10
$10,400
Competition Price Trends
BMW M5 (F10) Competition prices have decreased 0.5% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $28,845 across 39 sales, down from $28,995 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Competition prices are down 6.2% ($28,845 vs. $30,750 a year ago).
Competition Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2024-Q4
16
$31,000
$30,619
2025-Q1
17
$28,500
$30,112
2025-Q2
14
$38,000
$34,254
2025-Q3
23
$30,750
$35,429
2025-Q4
19
$27,608
$27,852
2026-Q1
22
$33,250
$34,404
2026-Q2
31
$28,995
$33,080
2026-Q3
39
$28,845
$34,319
Best Value Competition by Model Year
The 2011 Competition offers the best value with a median price of $4,800 across 6 listings. The most expensive model year is 2016 at a median of $36,981.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
2011
6
$4,800
$2,500
$7,500
2012
5
$7,000
$3,500
$20,000
2013
214
$25,995
$2,500
$60,998
2014
101
$28,000
$2,500
$48,500
2015
53
$29,694
$2,800
$119,798
2016
62
$36,981
$10,995
$89,900
How Mileage Affects Competition Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the BMW M5 (F10) Competition from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 60,044 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
1,118 mi
1.46x
$42,722
4,330 mi
1.25x
$36,611
10,101 mi
1.29x
$37,893
22,171 mi
1.29x
$37,759
40,760 mi
1.09x
$31,979
63,196 mi
0.97x
$28,282
93,075 mi
0.73x
$21,258
142,705 mi
0.60x
$17,651
300,000 mi
0.58x
$17,008
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 1,118 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.46x the reference value. At the other end, 300,000-mile examples trade at about 0.58x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Competition Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↓ DOWN
50%
volatile
65% over 51 tests
12 months
→ FLAT
50%
volatile
49% over 45 tests
24 months
↑ UP
53%
volatile
48% over 33 tests
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the BMW M5 (F10) Competition — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Competition
The highest concentration of BMW M5 (F10) Competition listings is in CA with 68 active listings, followed by TX (50), IL (44), WA (34), FL (31).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in FL at $20,885, while ID has the highest at $40,890. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $20,005.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
CA
68
$28,883
TX
50
$24,995
IL
44
$36,995
WA
34
$31,697
FL
31
$20,885
GA
18
$27,495
AZ
16
$27,426
VA
16
$21,445
NJ
16
$27,498
PA
16
$26,500
Competition Market Velocity
BMW M5 (F10) Competition listings spend an average of 120 days on market. This is a slow-moving market. Listings tend to sit for extended periods, giving buyers significant negotiating power. Sellers should be realistic on pricing and patient.
The median time on market is 63 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Competition Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $21,990 to $34,694. The median is $27,595. Anything below $21,990 is a strong value; above $34,694 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Prices stable: Competition values have been relatively flat. There is no urgency to time the market.
Best value year: The 2011 model year has the lowest median price at $4,800, making it the most accessible entry point into Competition ownership.
Negotiate: With an average of 120 days on market, sellers are often willing to negotiate. Listings over 60 days old are especially open to offers.