What a Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution Is Actually Worth
True Value$23,800
Fair Range$20,900 - $26,600
Median Recent Sold$30,000
VerdictWATCH
As of October 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution is actually worth $23,800 (fair range $20,900 to $26,600). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 298 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $20,400 — about 14% below what these cars have actually been selling for. Asks sitting below recent sold values can signal softening demand or motivated sellers.
As of October 2026, the Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $19,994, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $5,199 and $30,000. Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution prices have decreased 2.1% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $30,000 to $29,373.
The typical Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution on the market has 102,300 miles. Listings spend an average of 94 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution Pricing
A fair price for a Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution in October 2026 is between $5,199 and $30,000 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $3,400 to $42,687 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$3,400
Budget / project cars
25th
$5,199
Below average price
Median (50th)
$19,994
Typical market price
75th
$30,000
Above average / premium
90th
$42,687
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $20,248, which is higher than the median, indicating that high-priced outliers (rare specifications, very low mileage, or concours-quality examples) pull the average up.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
17
$40,000
10,000 - 25,000 mi
48
$42,995
25,000 - 50,000 mi
61
$38,992
50,000 - 100,000 mi
350
$27,980
100,000 - 150,000 mi
317
$9,889
Over 150,000 mi
201
$3,900
Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution Price Trends
Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution prices have decreased 2.1% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $29,373 across 53 sales, down from $30,000 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution prices are up 4.9% ($29,373 vs. $27,995 a year ago).
Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2024-Q4
30
$31,499
$38,624
2025-Q1
27
$34,418
$33,787
2025-Q2
52
$25,250
$29,435
2025-Q3
65
$27,995
$34,244
2025-Q4
54
$33,000
$35,961
2026-Q1
189
$29,900
$32,792
2026-Q2
34
$30,000
$31,927
2026-Q3
53
$29,373
$34,771
Best Value Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution by Model Year
The 2002 Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution offers the best value with a median price of $2,900 across 19 listings. The most expensive model year is 2000 at a median of $53,995.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
1992
2
$53,522
$24,747
$53,522
1993
4
$26,415
$18,254
$34,516
1994
2
$25,134
$23,886
$25,134
1995
1
$35,172
$35,172
$35,172
1996
24
$25,000
$6,612
$37,641
1997
8
$23,995
$8,000
$27,499
1998
9
$31,999
$20,789
$45,999
1999
13
$36,999
$24,512
$53,999
2000
4
$53,995
$35,175
$59,538
2001
30
$33,500
$3,000
$50,153
2002
19
$2,900
$2,500
$6,929
2003
36
$25,000
$2,500
$54,995
2004
26
$25,000
$2,500
$40,000
2005
23
$26,500
$2,500
$50,000
2006
48
$45,500
$2,500
$57,991
2007
2
$27,636
$23,288
$27,636
2008
99
$18,500
$2,500
$40,000
2009
37
$4,500
$2,500
$16,500
2010
93
$17,999
$2,500
$35,000
2011
62
$6,000
$2,500
$41,991
2012
64
$8,571
$2,500
$48,094
2013
59
$15,000
$2,700
$44,900
2014
112
$23,995
$2,500
$55,995
2015
168
$27,995
$2,700
$59,991
2016
55
$7,500
$2,750
$16,998
How Mileage Affects Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 63,000 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
470 mi
2.27x
$53,954
5,400 mi
1.61x
$38,253
10,674 mi
1.48x
$35,278
21,777 mi
1.22x
$29,014
38,798 mi
1.26x
$29,990
64,128 mi
0.99x
$23,511
93,863 mi
0.83x
$19,635
139,821 mi
0.73x
$17,315
300,000 mi
0.57x
$13,479
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 470 miles, cars trade at roughly 2.27x the reference value. At the other end, 300,000-mile examples trade at about 0.57x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↓ DOWN
49%
volatile
71% over 51 tests
12 months
↓ DOWN
47%
volatile
78% over 45 tests
24 months
↓ DOWN
45%
volatile
67% over 33 tests
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution
The highest concentration of Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution listings is in CA with 105 active listings, followed by TX (90), WA (87), FL (84), IL (63).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in GA at $3,999, while OR has the highest at $27,995. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $23,996.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
CA
105
$6,500
TX
90
$5,725
WA
87
$20,991
FL
84
$19,000
IL
63
$19,994
CO
49
$22,894
NJ
49
$9,900
AZ
46
$16,000
NY
39
$7,500
GA
38
$3,999
Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution Market Velocity
Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution listings spend an average of 94 days on market. This is a slow-moving market. Listings tend to sit for extended periods, giving buyers significant negotiating power. Sellers should be realistic on pricing and patient.
The median time on market is 58 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $5,199 to $30,000. The median is $19,994. Anything below $5,199 is a strong value; above $30,000 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Prices stable: Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution values have been relatively flat. There is no urgency to time the market.
Best value year: The 2002 model year has the lowest median price at $2,900, making it the most accessible entry point into Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution ownership.
Negotiate: With an average of 94 days on market, sellers are often willing to negotiate. Listings over 60 days old are especially open to offers.