As of September 2026, CarSearch.Pro's True Value model estimates a typical BMW M3 (G80) Competition is actually worth $69,300 (fair range $61,000 to $77,700). Unlike the median asking price shown above, True Value is anchored to 34 recent confirmed sales, normalized for mileage, and blends auction hammer prices (grossed up for buyer's premium) with real-world asking behavior.
Sellers are currently asking a median of $81,000 — about 17% above what these cars have actually been selling for. That gap favors patient buyers: negotiate from the sold data, not the ask.
As of September 2026, the BMW M3 (G80) Competition market has 1,000 active listings across 14 marketplaces tracked by CarSearch.Pro. The median asking price is $75,000, with the middle 50% of listings priced between $69,900 and $79,500. Competition prices have increased 2.1% over the past quarter, from a median sale price of $78,330 to $79,995.
The typical Competition on the market has 30,273 miles. Listings spend an average of 45 days on market before selling or being removed.
Current Competition Pricing
A fair price for a BMW M3 (G80) Competition in September 2026 is between $69,900 and $79,500 (25th to 75th percentile). Prices range from $60,580 to $81,995 across 1,000 active listings.
Price Distribution (1,000 Active Listings)
Percentile
Price
Meaning
10th
$60,580
Budget / project cars
25th
$69,900
Below average price
Median (50th)
$75,000
Typical market price
75th
$79,500
Above average / premium
90th
$81,995
Top tier / low miles / rare spec
The average asking price is $71,877, which is lower than the median, suggesting pricing is relatively symmetrical across the market.
Price by Mileage
Mileage Range
Listings
Median Price
Under 10,000 mi
69
$78,800
10,000 - 25,000 mi
286
$78,072
25,000 - 50,000 mi
505
$74,800
50,000 - 100,000 mi
119
$68,995
100,000 - 150,000 mi
2
$64,589
Over 150,000 mi
2
$18,500
Competition Price Trends
BMW M3 (G80) Competition prices have increased 2.1% over the past quarter. In 2026-Q3, the median sale price was $79,995 across 37 sales, up from $78,330 in 2026-Q2.
On a year-over-year basis, Competition prices are down 6.9% ($79,995 vs. $85,895 a year ago).
Competition Quarterly Sale Prices (Historical)
Quarter
Sales
Median Price
Average Price
2024-Q4
13
$79,995
$79,594
2025-Q1
26
$85,990
$84,952
2025-Q2
33
$79,995
$83,980
2025-Q3
62
$85,895
$85,124
2025-Q4
96
$84,995
$86,047
2026-Q1
36
$84,998
$86,068
2026-Q2
32
$78,330
$77,258
2026-Q3
37
$79,995
$82,438
Best Value Competition by Model Year
The 2021 Competition offers the best value with a median price of $71,754 across 241 listings. The most expensive model year is 2024 at a median of $78,755.
Median Price by Model Year
Year
Listings
Median Price
Min
Max
2021
241
$71,754
$2,700
$82,181
2022
278
$73,000
$2,500
$83,500
2023
313
$78,500
$3,000
$83,984
2024
168
$78,755
$5,000
$83,948
How Mileage Affects Competition Value
Most price guides assume value falls linearly with mileage. It doesn't. CarSearch.Pro learns the actual price-vs-mileage curve for the BMW M3 (G80) Competition from confirmed sales, referenced to a typical example at about 13,728 miles:
Odometer (approx.)
Value Multiplier
Implied Value
946 mi
1.36x
$94,344
4,908 mi
1.21x
$84,014
11,331 mi
1.06x
$73,269
22,732 mi
0.96x
$66,768
35,522 mi
0.91x
$63,014
63,246 mi
0.85x
$58,727
99,500 mi
0.72x
$49,583
154,919 mi
0.66x
$45,594
300,000 mi
0.58x
$40,228
Low-mileage examples carry a real premium in this market: around 946 miles, cars trade at roughly 1.36x the reference value. At the other end, 300,000-mile examples trade at about 0.58x. Implied values here are anchored to this market's True Value.
Competition Price Forecast
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Regime
Past Accuracy
6 months
↓ DOWN
54%
volatile
81% over 16 tests
12 months
↑ UP
47%
volatile
60% over 10 tests
24 months
↑ UP
47%
volatile
insufficient history
These are probabilistic direction calls, not price targets. The "Past Accuracy" column is this model's real walk-forward record on the BMW M3 (G80) Competition — every month we re-run the forecast as if we only knew what was knowable then, and grade it against what actually happened. We publish the hit rate either way. Full methodology & track record →
Where to Buy a Competition
The highest concentration of BMW M3 (G80) Competition listings is in FL with 182 active listings, followed by IL (115), CA (109), TX (90), NJ (80).
Regional pricing varies significantly. The lowest median price is in NJ at $74,799, while WA has the highest at $88,100. Buyers willing to travel or arrange transport may find savings of $13,301.
Top States by Inventory
State
Listings
Median Price
FL
182
$79,490
IL
115
$86,995
CA
109
$77,299
TX
90
$80,999
NJ
80
$74,799
GA
70
$75,200
AZ
53
$83,991
NY
45
$84,995
WA
25
$88,100
WI
21
$85,435
Competition Market Velocity
BMW M3 (G80) Competition listings spend an average of 45 days on market. This is a slower market. Buyers have negotiating leverage, especially on listings that have been active for 60+ days. Sellers should consider competitive pricing from the start.
The median time on market is 34 days. The lower median suggests most cars sell relatively quickly, while a smaller number of overpriced listings drag up the average.
Competition Buyer's Guide Summary
Fair price range: $69,900 to $79,500. The median is $75,000. Anything below $69,900 is a strong value; above $79,500 should be premium condition, low miles, or a desirable specification.
Prices stable: Competition values have been relatively flat. There is no urgency to time the market.
Best value year: The 2021 model year has the lowest median price at $71,754, making it the most accessible entry point into Competition ownership.
Take your time, but don't delay: Average days on market is 45. You have some time to research, but the best deals still go fast.